Justin Ellis shots on target: hit rates and game log
Justin Ellis (Orlando City SC F) has averaged 0.5 shots on target per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.7 in 2026 (20 games), reaching 1+ in 3 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (20) | 2025 season (1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ shots on target | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 7/20 (35%) | 7/20 (35%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| 2+ shots on target | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/20 (15%) | 3/20 (15%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| 3+ shots on target | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/20 (15%) | 3/20 (15%) | 0/1 (0%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the shots on target recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 57.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 62.3 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 66.6 |
| 2026 season | 20 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 66.6 |
| 2025 season | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 0.8 | 0 | 5/12 (42%) |
| Away | 9 | 0.4 | 0 | 2/9 (22%) |
| Team won | 11 | 0.5 | 0 | 3/11 (27%) |
| Team lost | 7 | 0.7 | 0 | 3/7 (43%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most shots on target | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3/7 (43%) |
| vs the bottom third | 7 | 0.7 | 0 | 3/7 (43%) |
Next game
- Home against the D.C. United on October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
- This season the D.C. United allow 5.4 shots on target per match (9th most allowed of 30).
- Against the D.C. United in stored games: 3 (Apr 25, 2026); 1 game, average 3.
Game preview · D.C. United stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Shots on target | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs CLB | W | 0 | 13 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ NE | L | 0 | 90 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs TOR | W | 1 | 20 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 0 | 90 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs SD | W | 0 | 75 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | @ MIN | T | 0 | 73 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | vs RSL | W | 0 | 51 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | vs CHI | L | 1 | 63 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | vs CIN | T | 3 | 61 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | @ RBNY | L | 0 | 87 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | vs NSH | W | 3 | 86 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | @ SJ | W | 0 | 84 |
| May 23, 2026 | @ CIN | L | 0 | 57 |
| May 16, 2026 | vs ATL | T | 0 | 69 |
| May 13, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 0 | 70 |
| May 9, 2026 | @ MTL | L | 0 | 80 |
| May 2, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 1 | 59 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | @ DC | L | 3 | 83 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | vs CLT | W | 0 | 89 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs HOU | L | 1 | 32 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Justin Ellis, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Justin Ellis stats and game log
- Justin Ellis in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Justin Ellis shots
- Justin Ellis assists
- MLS shots on target: every player