Premier League xG table, 2026-27
Expected goals (xG) for and against for 20 Premier League clubs in the 2026-27 season through October 12, 2026, next to the goals they actually scored and conceded. Arsenal have the best xG difference (+6.4), Brighton & Hove Albion create the most xG per match (2.02) and Arsenal concede the least (0.76 xG against per match). A club far above its xG has finished (or been saved) better than its shot quality suggests; the gap is a description of what happened, not a prediction.
What stands out
- Best expected-goal difference: Arsenal (+6.4 over 6 matches).
- Across these matches clubs scored 177 goals against 176.6 expected goals; 5 of the goals were penalties (from the stored goal lists).
Expected goals by club
| Club | Matches | xG for | Goals for | Penalty goals | Goals minus xG | xG against | Goals against | xG difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | 1 | -0.9 | 4.6 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 12.1 | 18 | 1 | +5.9 | 9.6 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Brentford | 6 | 11.2 | 12 | 0 | +0.8 | 8.6 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Manchester City | 6 | 10.6 | 16 | 0 | +5.4 | 8.3 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Nottingham Forest | 6 | 9.8 | 5 | 0 | -4.8 | 7.6 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Manchester United | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 1 | -1.4 | 8.3 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Sunderland | 6 | 10.8 | 6 | 0 | -4.8 | 9.6 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Everton | 6 | 9.0 | 8 | 0 | -1.0 | 8.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 8.7 | 7 | 0 | -1.7 | 7.9 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Liverpool | 6 | 8.1 | 7 | 1 | -1.1 | 7.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Leeds United | 6 | 8.6 | 8 | 0 | -0.6 | 8.2 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Fulham | 6 | 9.3 | 6 | 0 | -3.4 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Ipswich Town | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | 0 | +0.4 | 10.7 | 12 | -2.1 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 0 | -3.4 | 8.5 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Hull City | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | 0 | +1.4 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Newcastle United | 6 | 7.0 | 10 | 0 | +3.0 | 9.2 | 13 | -2.2 |
| Chelsea | 6 | 7.8 | 15 | 0 | +7.2 | 10.4 | 13 | -2.5 |
| Crystal Palace | 6 | 8.3 | 9 | 0 | +0.7 | 11.7 | 12 | -3.4 |
| Aston Villa | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 0 | -0.1 | 9.7 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Coventry City | 6 | 6.2 | 5 | 1 | -1.2 | 10.0 | 11 | -3.8 |
Premier League xG table: quick answers
- Which Premier League club has the best expected-goal difference in 2026-27?
- Arsenal, at +6.4 over 6 matches: 10.9 expected goals for and 4.6 against.
- Which Premier League club creates the most expected goals per match in 2026-27?
- Brighton & Hove Albion, with 2.02 expected goals per match over 6 matches.
- Which Premier League club concedes the fewest expected goals per match in 2026-27?
- Arsenal, with 0.76 expected goals against per match over 6 matches.
How to read this table
- xG is the provider’s expected-goals model per shot, summed by match from each club’s stored match statistics. It is shown as stored, not a StatsNext estimate.
- Only league matches with xG for both clubs count; the Matches column says how many.
- The provider does not document whether its xG includes penalties. Penalty goals are shown in their own column (from the stored goal lists), so read goals minus xG with them: a club that scores many penalties can sit well above its xG for that reason alone.
- Small samples early in a season move quickly.
This page shows statistics and results only. It contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines. Current markets and StatsNext research are in the app.
Related research
- Premier League table and results
- Premier League team statistics
- Premier League player statistics
- Premier League in the StatsNext Stats Explorer: club and player tables with shot quality and rates
- Glossary: expected goals and other terms