Serie A xG table, 2026-27
Expected goals (xG) for and against for 20 Serie A clubs in the 2026-27 season through October 12, 2026, next to the goals they actually scored and conceded. Internazionale have the best xG difference (+9.3), Internazionale create the most xG per match (2.66) and Juventus concede the least (0.46 xG against per match). A club far above its xG has finished (or been saved) better than its shot quality suggests; the gap is a description of what happened, not a prediction.
What stands out
- Best expected-goal difference: Internazionale (+9.3 over 6 matches).
- Across these matches clubs scored 172 goals against 172.2 expected goals; 5 of the goals were penalties (from the stored goal lists).
Expected goals by club
| Club | Matches | xG for | Goals for | Penalty goals | Goals minus xG | xG against | Goals against | xG difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionale | 6 | 16.0 | 18 | 1 | +2.0 | 6.7 | 8 | +9.3 |
| AS Roma | 6 | 14.1 | 14 | 0 | -0.1 | 6.5 | 3 | +7.6 |
| Juventus | 6 | 9.4 | 9 | 0 | -0.5 | 2.8 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Monza | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | 1 | -1.5 | 6.9 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Napoli | 6 | 10.4 | 10 | 1 | -0.4 | 7.1 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Como | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | 0 | -1.9 | 8.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Lazio | 6 | 9.2 | 11 | 1 | +1.9 | 7.3 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Sassuolo | 6 | 8.8 | 10 | 0 | +1.2 | 7.4 | 10 | +1.4 |
| AC Milan | 6 | 8.0 | 11 | 0 | +3.0 | 6.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Fiorentina | 6 | 9.0 | 7 | 0 | -2.0 | 8 | 14 | +1.0 |
| Bologna | 6 | 6.9 | 5 | 0 | -1.9 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Torino | 6 | 7.0 | 7 | 0 | +0.1 | 7.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Genoa | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 0 | -0.8 | 7.1 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Venezia | 6 | 10.3 | 5 | 0 | -5.3 | 13.1 | 16 | -2.7 |
| Udinese | 6 | 7.2 | 9 | 0 | +1.9 | 11.6 | 13 | -4.5 |
| Cagliari | 6 | 5.5 | 6 | 1 | +0.5 | 10.3 | 3 | -4.7 |
| Frosinone | 6 | 8.1 | 9 | 0 | +0.9 | 12.9 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Atalanta | 6 | 5.7 | 8 | 0 | +2.4 | 12.3 | 8 | -6.7 |
| Parma | 6 | 3.6 | 4 | 0 | +0.3 | 10.7 | 10 | -7.1 |
| Lecce | 6 | 5.8 | 6 | 0 | +0.2 | 13.1 | 12 | -7.2 |
Serie A xG table: quick answers
- Which Serie A club has the best expected-goal difference in 2026-27?
- Internazionale, at +9.3 over 6 matches: 16.0 expected goals for and 6.7 against.
- Which Serie A club creates the most expected goals per match in 2026-27?
- Internazionale, with 2.66 expected goals per match over 6 matches.
- Which Serie A club concedes the fewest expected goals per match in 2026-27?
- Juventus, with 0.46 expected goals against per match over 6 matches.
How to read this table
- xG is the provider’s expected-goals model per shot, summed by match from each club’s stored match statistics. It is shown as stored, not a StatsNext estimate.
- Only league matches with xG for both clubs count; the Matches column says how many.
- The provider does not document whether its xG includes penalties. Penalty goals are shown in their own column (from the stored goal lists), so read goals minus xG with them: a club that scores many penalties can sit well above its xG for that reason alone.
- Small samples early in a season move quickly.
This page shows statistics and results only. It contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines. Current markets and StatsNext research are in the app.
Related research
- Serie A table and results
- Serie A team statistics
- Serie A player statistics
- Serie A in the StatsNext Stats Explorer: club and player tables with shot quality and rates
- Glossary: expected goals and other terms