Chet Holmgren points: hit rates and game log
Chet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder C-F) has averaged 15.8 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 17.1 in 2025-26 (69 games), reaching 18+ in 3 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 15.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2025-26 season (69) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 18/20 (90%) | 64/69 (93%) |
| 12+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | 16/20 (80%) | 55/69 (80%) |
| 15+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 13/20 (65%) | 45/69 (65%) |
| 18+ points | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 7/20 (35%) | 29/69 (42%) |
| 20+ points | 2/5 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | 5/20 (25%) | 23/69 (33%) |
| 22+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/20 (10%) | 16/69 (23%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 17.2 | 15 | 7 | 30 | 24.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.8 | 15.5 | 7 | 30 | 26.1 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 16.3 | 15.5 | 7 | 30 | 28.4 |
| 2025-26 season | 69 | 17.1 | 16 | 5 | 31 | 28.9 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 18+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19 | 16.1 | 16 | 5/19 (26%) |
| Away | 21 | 16.4 | 15 | 8/21 (38%) |
| Team won | 31 | 16.5 | 16 | 11/31 (35%) |
| Team lost | 9 | 15.7 | 15 | 2/9 (22%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most points | 20 | 17.9 | 18 | 11/20 (55%) |
| vs the bottom third | 23 | 16.7 | 16 | 9/23 (39%) |
Next game
- At the San Antonio Spurs on October 20, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET.
- This season the San Antonio Spurs allow 111.7 points per game (23rd most allowed of 30).
- Against the San Antonio Spurs in stored games: 4 (May 30, 2026, playoffs), 10 (May 28, 2026, playoffs), 16 (May 26, 2026, playoffs), 10 (May 24, 2026, playoffs), 14 (May 22, 2026, playoffs), 13 (May 20, 2026, playoffs), 8 (May 18, 2026, playoffs), 8 (Jan 13, 2026), 10 (Dec 25, 2025), 7 (Dec 23, 2025); 10 games, average 10.
Game preview · San Antonio Spurs stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | @ LAC | W | 30 | 31 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ LAL | W | 15 | 22 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | vs UTA | W | 21 | 22 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs LAL | W | 7 | 18 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs DET | W | 13 | 30 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs NYK | W | 16 | 33 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | @ BOS | L | 10 | 26 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | @ PHI | W | 17 | 30 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ WAS | W | 18 | 27 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | @ BKN | W | 11 | 22 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ ORL | W | 20 | 33 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 21 | 32 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs BOS | W | 14 | 28 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | @ NYK | W | 28 | 32 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 12 | 26 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @ DAL | W | 19 | 28 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 15 | 38 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | @ TOR | W | 7 | 30 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | vs CLE | W | 17 | 34 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | vs BKN | W | 15 | 26 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Chet Holmgren, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Chet Holmgren stats and game log
- Chet Holmgren in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Chet Holmgren rebounds
- Chet Holmgren points + rebounds + assists
- NBA points: every player