Zach Ertz receptions: hit rates and game log
Zach Ertz (Philadelphia Eagles TE) has averaged 3.3 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1 in 2026 (3 games), reaching 4+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 16: 3.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (3) | 2025 season (13) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 14/16 (88%) | 2/3 (67%) | 12/13 (92%) |
| 2+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 7/10 (70%) | 12/16 (75%) | 1/3 (33%) | 11/13 (85%) |
| 3+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 6/10 (60%) | 10/16 (63%) | 0/3 (0%) | 10/13 (77%) |
| 4+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 5/10 (50%) | 7/16 (44%) | 0/3 (0%) | 7/13 (54%) |
| 5+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/16 (19%) | 0/3 (0%) | 3/13 (23%) |
| 6+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/16 (19%) | 0/3 (0%) | 3/13 (23%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 0 | 10 | 5.3 |
| Last 20 | 16 | 3.3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2.7 |
| 2025 season | 13 | 3.8 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 5.5 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 4.6 | 4 | 4/7 (57%) |
| Away | 9 | 2.3 | 2 | 3/9 (33%) |
| Team won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0/3 (0%) |
| Team lost | 13 | 3.6 | 4 | 7/13 (54%) |
Next game
- Home against the Carolina Panthers on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against tight ends this season the Carolina Panthers allow 5.3 receptions per game (15th most allowed of 32; league average 5.4; 4 games).
- This season the Carolina Panthers allow 230.8 passing yards per game (11th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Carolina Panthers.
Game preview · Carolina Panthers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ JAX | L | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs LAR | L | 2 | 4 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | @ CHI | L | 1 | 2 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ MIN | L | 1 | 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs DEN | L | 10 | 13 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIA | L | 4 | 8 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs DET | L | 4 | 5 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 4 | 4 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | @ KC | L | 4 | 6 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ DAL | L | 3 | 7 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | vs CHI | L | 6 | 6 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | @ LAC | W | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ ATL | L | 2 | 4 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs LV | W | 3 | 3 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | @ GB | L | 6 | 8 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs NYG | W | 3 | 5 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Zach Ertz, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Zach Ertz stats and game log
- Zach Ertz in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Zach Ertz receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games