John Tavares goals: hit rates and game log
John Tavares (Toronto Maple Leafs C) has averaged 0.3 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.3 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 1+ in 3 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (7) | 2025-26 season (18) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ goals | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 9/20 (45%) | 2/7 (29%) | 8/18 (44%) |
| 2+ goals | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 1/20 (5%) | 0/7 (0%) | 1/18 (6%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:17 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:04 |
| 2026-27 season | 7 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 |
| 2025-26 season | 18 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:16 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 0.4 | 0 | 5/12 (42%) |
| Away | 13 | 0.5 | 0 | 5/13 (38%) |
| Team won | 7 | 0.7 | 1 | 4/7 (57%) |
| Team lost | 18 | 0.3 | 0 | 6/18 (33%) |
Next game
- Home against the Buffalo Sabres on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Buffalo Sabres allow 3.7 goals per game (9th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Buffalo Sabres in stored games: 0 (Oct 15, 2026), 0 (Mar 14, 2026); 2 games, average 0.
Buffalo Sabres stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Goals | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 0 | 11:47 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ UTA | L | 1 | 18:03 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ VGK | L | 0 | 15:26 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | vs NSH | W | 1 | 18:46 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 0 | 18:03 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs NYI | W | 0 | 16:58 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs MTL | L | 0 | 16:36 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | @ OTT | L | 0 | 20:05 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | vs DAL | L | 1 | 20:03 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs FLA | L | 0 | 17:01 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ NYI | L | 0 | 19:39 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | vs WSH | L | 0 | 19:32 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ LAK | L | 1 | 20:21 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ SJS | L | 1 | 19:13 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | @ ANA | W | 2 | 21:04 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ STL | L | 0 | 14:48 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | vs NYR | W | 1 | 19:19 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ BOS | W | 0 | 19:30 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ OTT | L | 1 | 18:55 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs CAR | L | 1 | 16:12 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for John Tavares, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- John Tavares stats and game log
- John Tavares in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- John Tavares shots on goal
- John Tavares points
- John Tavares assists
- NHL goals: every player