Tom Wilson points: hit rates and game log

Tom Wilson (Washington Capitals RW) has averaged 0.8 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.7 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 1+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.

Games through Oct 14, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Tom Wilson: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026-27 season (7)2025-26 season (18)
1+ points2/5 (40%)5/10 (50%)11/20 (55%)3/7 (43%)10/18 (56%)
2+ points1/5 (20%)2/10 (20%)4/20 (20%)1/7 (14%)3/18 (17%)
3+ points1/5 (20%)1/10 (10%)1/20 (5%)1/7 (14%)0/18 (0%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Tom Wilson: points per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighTOI/g
Last 550.800319:45
Last 10100.80.50318:29
Last 20200.810318:57
2026-27 season70.700319:02
2025-26 season180.710219:18

Splits

Tom Wilson: points by split over the last 25 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home120.817/12 (58%)
Away130.606/13 (46%)
Team won160.9111/16 (69%)
Team lost90.302/9 (22%)

Next game

  • Home against the New Jersey Devils on October 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
  • This season the New Jersey Devils allow 3.7 goals per game (10th most allowed of 32).
  • Against the New Jersey Devils in stored games: 2 (Apr 2, 2026), 1 (Mar 20, 2026); 2 games, average 1.5.

Game preview · New Jersey Devils stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

Tom Wilson: points in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultPointsTOI
Oct 14, 2026vs MTLW017:13
Oct 13, 2026@ CARL019:12
Oct 11, 2026vs SEAL020:49
Oct 9, 2026vs NYRW121:41
Oct 7, 2026vs PITW319:49
Oct 3, 2026@ TBLL017:49
Oct 2, 2026@ CARW116:37
Apr 14, 2026@ CBJW116:39
Apr 12, 2026vs PITW018:14
Apr 11, 2026@ PITW216:44
Apr 8, 2026@ TORW118:51
Apr 5, 2026@ NYRL119:13
Apr 4, 2026vs BUFW117:19
Apr 2, 2026@ NJDL220:06
Mar 31, 2026vs PHIW220:57
Mar 28, 2026@ VGKW024:11
Mar 26, 2026@ UTAW011:41
Mar 24, 2026@ STLL019:55
Mar 22, 2026vs COLL024:46
Mar 20, 2026vs NJDW117:21

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Tom Wilson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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