Aidan Chiles passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Aidan Chiles (Northwestern Wildcats QB) has averaged 1.3 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.8 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 2+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 13: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (8) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 9/13 (69%) | 4/5 (80%) | 5/8 (63%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 5/13 (38%) | 3/5 (60%) | 2/8 (25%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 4/13 (31%) | 2/5 (40%) | 2/8 (25%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 1/13 (8%) | 0/5 (0%) | 1/8 (13%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23.4 |
| Last 20 | 13 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24.2 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22.4 |
| 2025 season | 8 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25.4 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/9 (33%) |
| Away | 4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2/4 (50%) |
| Team won | 7 | 1.9 | 1 | 3/7 (43%) |
| Team lost | 6 | 1 | 0.5 | 2/6 (33%) |
Next game
- At the Michigan State Spartans on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Michigan State Spartans allow 1.5 passing touchdowns per game (132nd fewest allowed of 267; league average 1.5; 6 games).
- This season the Michigan State Spartans allow 25.7 points per game (48th most allowed of 136).
- No stored game against the Michigan State Spartans.
Game preview · Michigan State Spartans stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs BALL | W | 3 | 23 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | vs PSU | W | 0 | 14 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | @ IU | L | 2 | 29 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs COLO | W | 3 | 22 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs SDST | W | 1 | 24 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs MICH | L | 0 | 28 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ IU | L | 1 | 33 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs UCLA | L | 0 | 17 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ NEB | L | 0 | 23 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ USC | L | 3 | 21 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs YSU | W | 1 | 29 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs BC | W | 4 | 29 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | vs WMU | W | 1 | 23 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Aidan Chiles, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Aidan Chiles stats and game log
- Aidan Chiles in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Aidan Chiles passing yards
- College football passing touchdowns: every player
- College football defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE