Arch Manning passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Arch Manning (Texas Longhorns QB) has averaged 2.1 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 2+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 18: 2.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (13) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 16/18 (89%) | 4/5 (80%) | 12/13 (92%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 10/18 (56%) | 3/5 (60%) | 7/13 (54%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/18 (39%) | 2/5 (40%) | 5/13 (38%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 3/18 (17%) | 1/5 (20%) | 2/13 (15%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 31.6 |
| Last 20 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30.6 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29.4 |
| 2025 season | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 31.1 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 2.4 | 2 | 7/11 (64%) |
| Away | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/7 (43%) |
| Team won | 14 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/14 (57%) |
| Team lost | 4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2/4 (50%) |
Next game
- Home against the Florida Gators on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Florida Gators allow 1.8 passing touchdowns per game (83rd most allowed of 267; league average 1.5; 6 games).
- This season the Florida Gators allow 29 points per game (25th most allowed of 136).
- Against the Florida Gators in stored games: 2 (Oct 4, 2025); 1 game, average 2.
Game preview · Florida Gators stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ OU | L | 3 | 31 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ TENN | W | 0 | 19 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs UTSA | W | 2 | 33 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs OSU | W | 1 | 37 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs TXST | W | 4 | 27 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs MICH | W | 2 | 34 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs TA&M | W | 1 | 29 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs ARK | W | 4 | 30 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ UGA | L | 1 | 43 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs VAN | W | 3 | 33 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ MSST | W | 3 | 46 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ UK | W | 0 | 27 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs OU | W | 1 | 27 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ FLA | L | 2 | 29 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs SHSU | W | 3 | 21 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs UTEP | W | 1 | 25 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs SJSU | W | 4 | 30 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | @ OSU | L | 1 | 30 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Arch Manning, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Arch Manning stats and game log
- Arch Manning in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Arch Manning passing yards
- College football passing touchdowns: every player
- College football defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE