CJ Carr passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log

CJ Carr (Notre Dame Fighting Irish QB) has averaged 2.4 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2.7 in 2026 (6 games), reaching 3+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 18: 2.

Games through Oct 10, 2026 · Updated October 12, 2026 at 8:36 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

CJ Carr: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (6)2025 season (12)
1+ passing touchdowns4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)17/18 (94%)5/6 (83%)12/12 (100%)
2+ passing touchdowns4/5 (80%)8/10 (80%)14/18 (78%)5/6 (83%)9/12 (75%)
3+ passing touchdowns4/5 (80%)5/10 (50%)6/18 (33%)4/6 (67%)2/12 (17%)
4+ passing touchdowns2/5 (40%)2/10 (20%)3/18 (17%)2/6 (33%)1/12 (8%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

CJ Carr: passing touchdowns per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighATT/g
Last 552.830423
Last 10102.42.50422.8
Last 20182.220424.3
2026 season62.730424
2025 season12221424.4

Splits

CJ Carr: passing touchdowns by split over the last 18 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian3+
Home111.923/11 (27%)
Away72.723/7 (43%)
Team won162.326/16 (38%)

Next game

  • At the BYU Cougars on October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
  • Against quarterbacks this season the BYU Cougars allow 1 passing touchdowns per game (48th fewest allowed of 267; league average 1.5; 5 games).
  • This season the BYU Cougars allow 13.4 points per game (129th most allowed of 136).
  • No stored game against the BYU Cougars.

Game preview · BYU Cougars stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

CJ Carr: passing touchdowns in the last 18 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultPassing touchdownsATT
Oct 10, 2026vs STANW320
Oct 3, 2026@ UNCW429
Sep 26, 2026@ PURW322
Sep 19, 2026vs MSUW024
Sep 12, 2026vs RICEW420
Sep 6, 2026vs WISW229
Nov 29, 2025@ STANW227
Nov 22, 2025vs SYRW19
Nov 15, 2025@ PITTW232
Nov 8, 2025vs NAVYW316
Nov 1, 2025@ BCW225
Oct 18, 2025vs USCW126
Oct 11, 2025vs NCSUW231
Oct 4, 2025vs BOISW223
Sep 27, 2025@ ARKW430
Sep 20, 2025vs PURW212
Sep 13, 2025vs TA&ML132
Aug 31, 2025@ MIAL230

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for CJ Carr, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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