Messiah Burch rushing yards stats: hit rates and game log
Messiah Burch (Buffalo Bulls RB) has averaged 65.2 rushing yards per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 93.3 in 2026 (7 games), reaching 50+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 13: 16.
On this page
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (7) | 2025 season (6) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ rushing yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 6/13 (46%) | 5/7 (71%) | 1/6 (17%) |
| 30+ rushing yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 6/13 (46%) | 5/7 (71%) | 1/6 (17%) |
| 40+ rushing yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 5/13 (38%) | 5/7 (71%) | 0/6 (0%) |
| 50+ rushing yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 5/13 (38%) | 5/7 (71%) | 0/6 (0%) |
| 60+ rushing yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 5/13 (38%) | 5/7 (71%) | 0/6 (0%) |
| 70+ rushing yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 5/13 (38%) | 5/7 (71%) | 0/6 (0%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the rushing yards recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | CAR/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 112.6 | 137 | 10 | 164 | 19.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 65.2 | 45 | -5 | 164 | 12 |
| Last 20 | 13 | 53.4 | 16 | -5 | 164 | 9.8 |
| 2026 season | 7 | 93.3 | 106 | 10 | 164 | 16.6 |
| 2025 season | 6 | 6.8 | 2 | -5 | 39 | 1.8 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 50+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 66 | 56.5 | 4/8 (50%) |
| Away | 5 | 33.2 | 10 | 1/5 (20%) |
| Team won | 6 | 94.5 | 105.5 | 4/6 (67%) |
| Team lost | 7 | 18.1 | 6 | 1/7 (14%) |
Next game
- Home against the Bowling Green Falcons on October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET.
- Against running backs this season the Bowling Green Falcons allow 162.7 rushing yards per game (25th most allowed of 267; league average 118.2; 7 games).
- This season the Bowling Green Falcons allow 203.9 rushing yards per game (7th most allowed of 136).
- No stored game against the Bowling Green Falcons.
Game preview · Bowling Green Falcons stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing yards | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs MASS | W | 164 | 26 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ TOL | W | 137 | 17 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs WMU | L | 106 | 23 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs RMU | W | 146 | 26 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ PSU | L | 10 | 6 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ FIU | L | 16 | 10 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vs UALB | W | 74 | 8 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs OHIO | L | -2 | 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs AKR | L | -5 | 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs TROY | L | 6 | 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ KENT | W | 7 | 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs SFPA | W | 39 | 4 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | @ MINN | L | -4 | 2 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Messiah Burch, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Messiah Burch stats and game log
- Messiah Burch in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- College football rushing yards: every player
- College football defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE