Nate Sheppard rushing yards: hit rates and game log
Nate Sheppard (Duke Blue Devils RB) has averaged 121.8 rushing yards per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 148.6 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 100+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 19: 91.
On this page
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60+ rushing yards | 5/5 (100%) | 9/10 (90%) | 15/19 (79%) | 5/5 (100%) | 10/14 (71%) |
| 70+ rushing yards | 5/5 (100%) | 9/10 (90%) | 13/19 (68%) | 5/5 (100%) | 8/14 (57%) |
| 80+ rushing yards | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 11/19 (58%) | 5/5 (100%) | 6/14 (43%) |
| 90+ rushing yards | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 11/19 (58%) | 5/5 (100%) | 6/14 (43%) |
| 100+ rushing yards | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 7/19 (37%) | 4/5 (80%) | 3/14 (21%) |
| 125+ rushing yards | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 5/19 (26%) | 3/5 (60%) | 2/14 (14%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the rushing yards recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | CAR/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 148.6 | 147 | 99 | 227 | 23.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 121.8 | 107.5 | 43 | 227 | 21.8 |
| Last 20 | 19 | 98.7 | 91 | 24 | 227 | 16.7 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 148.6 | 147 | 99 | 227 | 23.6 |
| 2025 season | 14 | 80.9 | 75 | 24 | 170 | 14.3 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 100+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 94.8 | 68 | 4/10 (40%) |
| Away | 9 | 103 | 97 | 3/9 (33%) |
| Team won | 13 | 114.2 | 97 | 6/13 (46%) |
| Team lost | 6 | 65.2 | 62.5 | 1/6 (17%) |
Next game
- Home against the North Carolina Tar Heels on October 17, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET.
- Against running backs this season the North Carolina Tar Heels allow 151.8 rushing yards per game (48th most allowed of 267; league average 118.8; 5 games).
- This season the North Carolina Tar Heels allow 152 rushing yards per game (49th most allowed of 136).
- Against the North Carolina Tar Heels in stored games: 90 (Nov 22, 2025); 1 game, average 90.
Game preview · North Carolina Tar Heels stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing yards | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ GT | L | 99 | 27 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs W&M | W | 116 | 9 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs STAN | W | 154 | 23 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ ILL | W | 147 | 24 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs TULN | W | 227 | 35 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs ASU | W | 170 | 22 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ UVA | W | 97 | 21 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs WAKE | W | 75 | 23 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ UNC | W | 90 | 22 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs UVA | L | 43 | 12 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ CONN | L | 100 | 16 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ CLEM | W | 60 | 13 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs GT | L | 50 | 15 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ CAL | W | 91 | 12 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ SYR | W | 168 | 15 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs NCSU | W | 61 | 14 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ TULN | L | 75 | 5 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs ILL | L | 24 | 5 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vs ELON | W | 28 | 5 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Nate Sheppard, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Nate Sheppard stats and game log
- Nate Sheppard in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- College football rushing yards: every player
- College football defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE