Carson Kelly runs scored: hit rates and game log

Carson Kelly (Chicago Cubs C) has averaged 0.5 runs scored per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.5 in 2026 (93 games), reaching 1+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.5.

Games through Sep 25, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Carson Kelly: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (93)
1+ runs scored1/5 (20%)4/10 (40%)10/20 (50%)36/93 (39%)
2+ runs scored0/5 (0%)1/10 (10%)2/20 (10%)6/93 (6%)
3+ runs scored0/5 (0%)0/10 (0%)1/20 (5%)3/93 (3%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the runs scored recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Carson Kelly: runs scored per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighAB/g
Last 550.20013.4
Last 10100.50023.3
Last 20200.70.5033.5
2026 season930.50033.2

Splits

Carson Kelly: runs scored by split over the last 40 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home200.70.510/20 (50%)
Away200.408/20 (40%)
Team won250.7115/25 (60%)
Team lost150.203/15 (20%)
vs the top third allowing the most runs380.5016/38 (42%)
vs the bottom third250.509/25 (36%)

Game log

Carson Kelly: runs scored in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultRuns scoredAB
Sep 25, 2026@ BOSL03
Sep 24, 2026vs MIAW03
Sep 22, 2026vs MIAL05
Sep 19, 2026@ CINW04
Sep 18, 2026@ CINL12
Sep 16, 2026vs ATLW14
Sep 14, 2026vs ATLW23
Sep 12, 2026vs PITW03
Sep 11, 2026vs PITW13
Sep 9, 2026@ MILL03
Sep 7, 2026@ MILL04
Sep 6, 2026@ MIAL14
Sep 4, 2026@ MIAW04
Sep 3, 2026vs MILW13
Sep 1, 2026vs MILL04
Aug 31, 2026vs MILW15
Aug 29, 2026vs CINW34
Aug 28, 2026vs CINL13
Aug 26, 2026@ ARIL03
Aug 24, 2026@ ARIW13

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Only games Carson Kelly started are counted where his lineup status is known: sportsbooks void a pre-game batter prop when the player does not start.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Carson Kelly, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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