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Carlos Leal vs Randy Brown: statistical comparison

Carlos Leal vs Randy Brown is scheduled at Welterweight on October 31, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, 3 rounds. Before the fight, StatsNext stored 4 UFC bouts for Carlos Leal (2-2) and 22 for Randy Brown (14-8).

Scheduled · October 31, 2026 · UFC bouts before the fight · Updated October 16, 2026 at 7:09 PM ET · StatsNext fight records

How do Carlos Leal and Randy Brown compare statistically?

Carlos Leal lands 8.74 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 7.77 (4 UFC bouts with statistics); Randy Brown lands 4.40 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.36 (21 UFC bouts with statistics). Grappling: Carlos Leal 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes with 90.9% takedown defense; Randy Brown 0.72 takedowns per 15 minutes with 74.6% takedown defense.

Carlos Leal vs Randy Brown: stored UFC bouts before Oct 31, 2026
Carlos LealRandy Brown
StatsNext pageCarlos LealRandy Brown
Career record (published now)23-720-8
Stored UFC record before the bout2-214-8
Height5'11"6'3"
Reach74"78"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Born19941990
Significant strikes landed per minute8.744.40
Significant strikes absorbed per minute7.773.36
Significant striking accuracy47.0%47.5%
Significant striking defense48.8%53.5%
Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.000.33
Takedowns per 15 minutes0.430.72
Takedown accuracy–34.4%
Takedown defense90.9%74.6%
Submission attempts per 15 minutes0.000.53
Control minutes per 15 minutes1.111.40
Share of fight time in control7.4%9.3%
Wins by KO/TKO / submission / decision1 / 0 / 14 / 3 / 7
Losses by KO/TKO / submission / decision1 / 0 / 13 / 2 / 3
Average bout (minutes)8.810.9
UFC bouts with statistics (minutes)4 (35)21 (228)

Rates are per minute fought over the stored bouts. Absorbed strikes and defense count only bouts where the opponent’s statistics are published. Control time is published for bouts from 2019.

What the numbers show

Striking volume

  • Carlos Leal lands 8.74 and absorbs 7.77 significant strikes per minute (differential +0.97; 4 bouts, 35 min).
  • Randy Brown lands 4.40 and absorbs 3.36 significant strikes per minute (differential +1.04; 21 bouts, 228 min).

Accuracy against defense

  • Carlos Leal lands 47.0% of significant attempts (306 of 651); opponents have landed 46.5% against Randy Brown (765 of 1646).
  • Randy Brown lands 47.5% of significant attempts (1003 of 2112); opponents have landed 51.2% against Carlos Leal (272 of 531).

Takedowns and control

  • Randy Brown lands 0.72 takedowns per 15 min (11 of 32, 34.4%; 21 bouts) with 1.40 control minutes per 15. Carlos Leal has stopped 90.9% of 22 takedown attempts.

Submission threat

  • Randy Brown: 3 submission wins in 14 stored wins, 0.53 submission attempts per 15 min (21 bouts). Carlos Leal: 0 submission losses in 2 stored losses; faced 0 submission attempts in 4 bouts with statistics.

Finishing and being finished

  • Carlos Leal: 1 of 2 wins inside the distance (1 KO/TKO, 0 submission); finished in 1 of 2 losses (1 KO/TKO, 0 submission). Average bout 8.8 min (4 bouts).
  • Randy Brown: 7 of 14 wins inside the distance (4 KO/TKO, 3 submission); finished in 5 of 8 losses (3 KO/TKO, 2 submission). Average bout 10.9 min (21 bouts).

Knockdowns

  • Carlos Leal: 0 knockdowns scored in 4 bouts; knocked down 1 time in 4 bouts with the opponent's statistics; 1 KO/TKO loss.
  • Randy Brown: 5 knockdowns scored in 21 bouts; knocked down 6 times in 21 bouts with the opponent's statistics; 3 KO/TKO losses.

Height and reach

  • Randy Brown has a 4 in reach advantage (74 in vs 78 in).
  • Randy Brown is 4 in taller.

Recent form

  • Carlos Leal: W DEC, L KO/TKO, W KO/TKO in the last 3.
  • Randy Brown: L DEC, L KO/TKO, W KO/TKO in the last 3. Last 3 bouts: 4.68 landed and 4.12 absorbed per min, against 4.40 and 3.36 over 21 stored bouts.

Each line states its sample. Fight-level totals only: the provider publishes no round-by-round statistics. Results against takedown pressure count what happened in each bout; style labels, short-notice replacements and weigh-in misses are not published. History, not a prediction.

Carlos Leal: recent UFC bouts

Carlos Leal: the most recent stored UFC bouts before Oct 31, 2026
DateOpponent (UFC record entering)ResultMethodRound, timeMinutesWeight classSig. strikes (absorbed)TakedownsControl
Feb 21, 2026Chidi Njokuani (5-4)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Welterweight115 of 276 (120)0 of 52:20
Jul 26, 2025Muslim Salikhov (8-4)LossKO/TKOR1 0:420.7Welterweight5 of 9 (3)0 of 00:00
Mar 8, 2025Alex Morono (13-8)WinKO/TKOR1 4:164.3Welterweight79 of 120 (40)0 of 00:03
Oct 26, 2024Rinat Fakhretdinov (4-0-1)LossDecisionR3 5:0015Welterweight107 of 246 (109)1 of 40:13

Randy Brown: recent UFC bouts

Randy Brown: the most recent stored UFC bouts before Oct 31, 2026
DateOpponent (UFC record entering)ResultMethodRound, timeMinutesWeight classSig. strikes (absorbed)TakedownsControl
Apr 11, 2026Kevin Holland (15-11)LossDecisionR3 5:0015Welterweight46 of 95 (56)0 of 42:43
Nov 8, 2025Gabriel Bonfim (5-1)LossKO/TKOR2 1:406.7Welterweight33 of 87 (35)0 of 00:00
Apr 26, 2025Nicolas Dalby (7-4-1)WinKO/TKOR2 1:396.7Welterweight54 of 114 (26)0 of 00:03
Dec 7, 2024Bryan Battle (6-1)LossDecisionR3 5:0015Welterweight60 of 111 (57)2 of 51:46
Jun 1, 2024Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (10-3-1)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Welterweight67 of 141 (26)0 of 00:42

About this comparison

  • Built from each fighter's stored UFC bouts before October 31, 2026; UFC bouts are stored from 1993 and statistics for most bouts from 2015. Control time counts bouts from 2019, when it is published.
  • Opponent records entering a bout count the opponent's stored UFC bouts before that date.
  • Bouts are listed as announced; cards change until fight night.

This page shows results and statistics only. It contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines. Current markets and StatsNext research are in the app.

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