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Nurullo Aliev vs Grant Dawson: statistical comparison

Nurullo Aliev vs Grant Dawson is scheduled at Lightweight on October 24, 2026 at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, 3 rounds. Before the fight, StatsNext stored 4 UFC bouts for Nurullo Aliev (4-0) and 15 for Grant Dawson (12-2-1).

Scheduled · October 24, 2026 · UFC bouts before the fight · Updated October 16, 2026 at 7:09 PM ET · StatsNext fight records

How do Nurullo Aliev and Grant Dawson compare statistically?

Nurullo Aliev lands 1.97 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 1.67 (4 UFC bouts with statistics); Grant Dawson lands 3.11 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 2.20 (15 UFC bouts with statistics). Grappling: Nurullo Aliev 3.50 takedowns per 15 minutes with 80.0% takedown defense; Grant Dawson 3.62 takedowns per 15 minutes with 70.0% takedown defense.

Nurullo Aliev vs Grant Dawson: stored UFC bouts before Oct 24, 2026
Nurullo AlievGrant Dawson
StatsNext pageNurullo AlievGrant Dawson
Career record (published now)12-024-3-1
Stored UFC record before the bout4-012-2-1
Height5'10"5'10"
Reach72"72"
StanceOrthodoxSwitch
Born20001994
Significant strikes landed per minute1.973.11
Significant strikes absorbed per minute1.672.20
Significant striking accuracy41.5%51.2%
Significant striking defense55.8%44.8%
Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.000.09
Takedowns per 15 minutes3.503.62
Takedown accuracy58.3%39.0%
Takedown defense80.0%70.0%
Submission attempts per 15 minutes0.501.24
Control minutes per 15 minutes8.809.71
Share of fight time in control58.7%64.7%
Wins by KO/TKO / submission / decision0 / 0 / 42 / 5 / 5
Losses by KO/TKO / submission / decision0 / 0 / 02 / 0 / 0
Average bout (minutes)1511.3
UFC bouts with statistics (minutes)4 (60)15 (170)

Rates are per minute fought over the stored bouts. Absorbed strikes and defense count only bouts where the opponent’s statistics are published. Control time is published for bouts from 2019.

What the numbers show

Striking volume

  • Nurullo Aliev lands 1.97 and absorbs 1.67 significant strikes per minute (differential +0.30; 4 bouts, 60 min).
  • Grant Dawson lands 3.11 and absorbs 2.20 significant strikes per minute (differential +0.91; 15 bouts, 169.8 min).

Accuracy against defense

  • Nurullo Aliev lands 41.5% of significant attempts (118 of 284); opponents have landed 55.2% against Grant Dawson (374 of 678).
  • Grant Dawson lands 51.2% of significant attempts (528 of 1032); opponents have landed 44.2% against Nurullo Aliev (100 of 226).

Takedowns and control

  • Nurullo Aliev lands 3.50 takedowns per 15 min (14 of 24, 58.3%; 4 bouts) with 8.80 control minutes per 15. Grant Dawson has stopped 70.0% of 10 takedown attempts.
  • Grant Dawson lands 3.62 takedowns per 15 min (41 of 105, 39.0%; 15 bouts) with 9.71 control minutes per 15. Nurullo Aliev has stopped 80.0% of 10 takedown attempts.

Submission threat

  • Grant Dawson: 5 submission wins in 12 stored wins, 1.24 submission attempts per 15 min (15 bouts). Nurullo Aliev: 0 submission losses in 0 stored losses; faced 5 submission attempts in 4 bouts with statistics.

Finishing and being finished

  • Nurullo Aliev: 0 of 4 wins inside the distance (0 KO/TKO, 0 submission); no stored loss. Average bout 15 min (4 bouts).
  • Grant Dawson: 7 of 12 wins inside the distance (2 KO/TKO, 5 submission); finished in 2 of 2 losses (2 KO/TKO, 0 submission). Average bout 11.3 min (15 bouts).

Knockdowns

  • Grant Dawson: 1 knockdown scored in 15 bouts; knocked down 3 times in 15 bouts with the opponent's statistics; 2 KO/TKO losses.

Height and reach

  • Reach within 2 in (72 in vs 72 in).

Recent form

  • Nurullo Aliev: W DEC, W DEC, W DEC in the last 3.
  • Grant Dawson: W SUB, L KO/TKO, W DEC in the last 3. Last 3 bouts: 3.08 landed and 2.59 absorbed per min, against 3.11 and 2.20 over 15 stored bouts.

Each line states its sample. Fight-level totals only: the provider publishes no round-by-round statistics. Results against takedown pressure count what happened in each bout; style labels, short-notice replacements and weigh-in misses are not published. History, not a prediction.

Nurullo Aliev: recent UFC bouts

Nurullo Aliev: the most recent stored UFC bouts before Oct 24, 2026
DateOpponent (UFC record entering)ResultMethodRound, timeMinutesWeight classSig. strikes (absorbed)TakedownsControl
Jul 25, 2026Mike Davis (5-2)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Lightweight13 of 34 (22)8 of 1312:25
Nov 22, 2025Shem Rock (0-0)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Lightweight51 of 117 (44)1 of 53:44
Jan 11, 2025Joe Solecki (5-3)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Lightweight35 of 88 (28)2 of 28:13
Feb 25, 2023Rafael Alves (1-2)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Lightweight19 of 45 (6)3 of 410:51

Grant Dawson: recent UFC bouts

Grant Dawson: the most recent stored UFC bouts before Oct 24, 2026
DateOpponent (UFC record entering)ResultMethodRound, timeMinutesWeight classSig. strikes (absorbed)TakedownsControl
May 9, 2026Mateusz Rębecki (4-3)WinSubmissionR3 4:4214.7Lightweight35 of 94 (33)1 of 37:08
Dec 6, 2025Manuel Torres (4-1)LossKO/TKOR1 2:252.4Lightweight8 of 21 (9)0 of 20:00
Jan 18, 2025Diego Ferreira (10-5)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Lightweight56 of 98 (41)6 of 1110:50
Oct 12, 2024Rafa Garcia (4-3)WinKO/TKOR2 1:426.7Lightweight44 of 90 (5)2 of 45:09
Jun 1, 2024Joe Solecki (5-2)WinDecisionR3 5:0015Lightweight46 of 70 (12)3 of 313:46

About this comparison

  • Built from each fighter's stored UFC bouts before October 24, 2026; UFC bouts are stored from 1993 and statistics for most bouts from 2015. Control time counts bouts from 2019, when it is published.
  • Opponent records entering a bout count the opponent's stored UFC bouts before that date.
  • Bouts are listed as announced; cards change until fight night.

This page shows results and statistics only. It contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines. Current markets and StatsNext research are in the app.

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