Aaron Nesmith points: hit rates and game log
Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers G-F) has averaged 17.5 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 13.8 in 2025-26 (45 games), reaching 15+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 14.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2025-26 season (45) | 2024-25 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 15/20 (75%) | 34/45 (76%) | 8/10 (80%) |
| 10+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 14/20 (70%) | 30/45 (67%) | 8/10 (80%) |
| 12+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 13/20 (65%) | 28/45 (62%) | 6/10 (60%) |
| 15+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 8/20 (40%) | 18/45 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) |
| 18+ points | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 6/20 (30%) | 10/45 (22%) | 2/10 (20%) |
| 20+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 4/20 (20%) | 7/45 (16%) | 2/10 (20%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 15.8 | 15 | 5 | 26 | 30.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.5 | 14.5 | 5 | 32 | 30 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 14.4 | 14 | 2 | 32 | 28.7 |
| 2025-26 season | 45 | 13.8 | 14 | 2 | 32 | 29.6 |
| 2024-25 season | 10 | 13.9 | 12.5 | 7 | 24 | 24.6 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 15+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17 | 14.8 | 14 | 7/17 (41%) |
| Away | 23 | 13.7 | 12 | 9/23 (39%) |
| Team won | 10 | 16.1 | 15 | 5/10 (50%) |
| Team lost | 30 | 13.5 | 13 | 11/30 (37%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most points | 10 | 14.1 | 13 | 4/10 (40%) |
| vs the bottom third | 17 | 10.8 | 10 | 4/17 (24%) |
Next game
- At the New Orleans Pelicans on October 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.
- This season the New Orleans Pelicans allow 120 points per game (7th most allowed of 30).
- Against the New Orleans Pelicans in stored games: 12 (Jan 16, 2026); 1 game, average 12.
Game preview · New Orleans Pelicans stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | vs LAC | L | 26 | 35 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | vs LAL | L | 14 | 32 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | @ ORL | W | 19 | 35 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ SAS | L | 5 | 25 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | vs POR | L | 15 | 26 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ NYK | L | 14 | 24 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | @ MIL | L | 32 | 29 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vs NYK | L | 12 | 34 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ SAC | L | 29 | 35 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ POR | L | 9 | 25 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ LAL | L | 7 | 23 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | @ LAC | L | 2 | 20 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | @ WAS | L | 3 | 15 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | @ NYK | W | 11 | 37 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | @ TOR | L | 7 | 23 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | @ MIL | L | 12 | 27 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | vs HOU | L | 17 | 33 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vs ATL | W | 23 | 33 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | vs CHI | W | 14 | 34 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | @ ATL | L | 18 | 29 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Aaron Nesmith, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Aaron Nesmith stats and game log
- Aaron Nesmith in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Aaron Nesmith threes made
- NBA points: every player