DeMar DeRozan points: hit rates and game log
DeMar DeRozan (Denver Nuggets G) has averaged 17.9 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 18.4 in 2025-26 (77 games), reaching 18+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 15.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2025-26 season (77) | 2024-25 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | 15/20 (75%) | 62/77 (81%) | 9/10 (90%) |
| 12+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 14/20 (70%) | 58/77 (75%) | 9/10 (90%) |
| 15+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 11/20 (55%) | 49/77 (64%) | 9/10 (90%) |
| 18+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 8/20 (40%) | 39/77 (51%) | 8/10 (80%) |
| 20+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 33/77 (43%) | 8/10 (80%) |
| 22+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 6/20 (30%) | 26/77 (34%) | 7/10 (70%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 21.2 | 22 | 9 | 33 | 27.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.9 | 13.5 | 2 | 41 | 27.5 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 17.9 | 15 | 2 | 41 | 28.6 |
| 2025-26 season | 77 | 18.4 | 18 | 2 | 41 | 31.3 |
| 2024-25 season | 10 | 24.7 | 25 | 8 | 37 | 36.6 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 18+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21 | 17.5 | 14 | 7/21 (33%) |
| Away | 19 | 19.6 | 20 | 12/19 (63%) |
| Team won | 12 | 21.3 | 20.5 | 7/12 (58%) |
| Team lost | 28 | 17.3 | 15.5 | 12/28 (43%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most points | 25 | 17.1 | 17 | 12/25 (48%) |
| vs the bottom third | 28 | 18.8 | 17.5 | 14/28 (50%) |
Next game
- At the Oklahoma City Thunder on October 22, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET.
- This season the Oklahoma City Thunder allow 107.9 points per game (29th most allowed of 30).
- Against the Oklahoma City Thunder in stored games: 17 (Nov 19, 2025), 18 (Nov 7, 2025), 19 (Oct 28, 2025); 3 games, average 18.
Game preview · Oklahoma City Thunder stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | vs LAC | L | 9 | 10 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | vs NOP | W | 14 | 23 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @ TOR | W | 28 | 35 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ ATL | L | 22 | 30 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ ORL | L | 33 | 38 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ CHA | L | 7 | 29 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs BKN | W | 10 | 32 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 13 | 23 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs SAS | L | 2 | 17 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs UTA | W | 41 | 38 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ LAC | W | 27 | 37 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | vs CHA | L | 39 | 41 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs IND | W | 12 | 24 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs NOP | L | 15 | 27 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs PHX | L | 17 | 34 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @ LAL | L | 9 | 22 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ DAL | W | 7 | 25 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @ HOU | L | 15 | 24 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | @ MEM | W | 19 | 29 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @ SAS | L | 20 | 35 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for DeMar DeRozan, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- DeMar DeRozan stats and game log
- DeMar DeRozan in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- DeMar DeRozan assists
- DeMar DeRozan points + rebounds + assists
- NBA points: every player
