Luka Doncic points: hit rates and game log
Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers F-G) has averaged 36.9 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 33.5 in 2025-26 (64 games), reaching 35+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 34.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2025-26 season (64) | 2024-25 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 19/20 (95%) | 60/64 (94%) | 8/10 (80%) |
| 25+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 18/20 (90%) | 55/64 (86%) | 7/10 (70%) |
| 28+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 15/20 (75%) | 48/64 (75%) | 6/10 (60%) |
| 30+ points | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 14/20 (70%) | 44/64 (69%) | 5/10 (50%) |
| 35+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 10/20 (50%) | 30/64 (47%) | 3/10 (30%) |
| 40+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 8/20 (40%) | 16/64 (25%) | 1/10 (10%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 34 | 41 | 12 | 43 | 35.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 36.9 | 38 | 12 | 60 | 37.3 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 60 | 36.4 |
| 2025-26 season | 64 | 33.5 | 34 | 10 | 60 | 35.8 |
| 2024-25 season | 10 | 29.9 | 29.5 | 19 | 45 | 36.3 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19 | 32.1 | 31 | 8/19 (42%) |
| Away | 21 | 34.7 | 33 | 10/21 (48%) |
| Team won | 27 | 35 | 35 | 14/27 (52%) |
| Team lost | 13 | 30.2 | 30 | 4/13 (31%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most points | 25 | 36.8 | 35 | 13/25 (52%) |
| vs the bottom third | 23 | 31.6 | 35 | 12/23 (52%) |
Next game
- Home against the Golden State Warriors on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET.
- This season the Golden State Warriors allow 115.2 points per game (17th most allowed of 30).
- Against the Golden State Warriors in stored games: 26 (Feb 28, 2026), 43 (Oct 21, 2025), 19 (Apr 3, 2025); 3 games, average 29.3.
Game preview · Golden State Warriors stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ OKC | L | 12 | 26 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs CLE | W | 42 | 34 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | vs BKN | W | 41 | 39 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | @ IND | W | 43 | 38 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | @ DET | L | 32 | 39 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ ORL | W | 33 | 38 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 60 | 38 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | @ HOU | W | 40 | 38 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | @ HOU | W | 36 | 40 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 30 | 43 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs CHI | W | 51 | 37 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 31 | 35 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | vs NYK | W | 35 | 38 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vs IND | W | 44 | 32 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 27 | 40 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs NOP | W | 27 | 38 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vs SAC | W | 28 | 29 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ GSW | W | 26 | 29 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @ PHX | L | 41 | 39 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | vs ORL | L | 22 | 38 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Luka Doncic, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Luka Doncic stats and game log
- Luka Doncic in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Luka Doncic rebounds
- Luka Doncic assists
- Luka Doncic threes made
- Luka Doncic points + rebounds + assists
- NBA points: every player