Pelle Larsson points: hit rates and game log
Pelle Larsson (Miami Heat G) has averaged 14 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 11.4 in 2025-26 (71 games), reaching 15+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 14.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2025-26 season (71) | 2024-25 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 20/20 (100%) | 61/71 (86%) | 5/10 (50%) |
| 8+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 8/10 (80%) | 17/20 (85%) | 49/71 (69%) | 4/10 (40%) |
| 10+ points | 3/5 (60%) | 8/10 (80%) | 17/20 (85%) | 42/71 (59%) | 4/10 (40%) |
| 12+ points | 2/5 (40%) | 6/10 (60%) | 11/20 (55%) | 31/71 (44%) | 4/10 (40%) |
| 15+ points | 2/5 (40%) | 5/10 (50%) | 9/20 (45%) | 26/71 (37%) | 2/10 (20%) |
| 18+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 5/20 (25%) | 12/71 (17%) | 0/10 (0%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | MIN/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.6 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 26.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14 | 14.5 | 6 | 24 | 30.1 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 14.1 | 14 | 6 | 28 | 30.3 |
| 2025-26 season | 71 | 11.4 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 26.4 |
| 2024-25 season | 10 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 16 | 20.7 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 15+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20 | 13.8 | 15.5 | 11/20 (55%) |
| Away | 20 | 11.8 | 10.5 | 6/20 (30%) |
| Team won | 20 | 14.7 | 15.5 | 11/20 (55%) |
| Team lost | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 6/20 (30%) |
| vs the top third allowing the most points | 19 | 13.2 | 15 | 11/19 (58%) |
| vs the bottom third | 25 | 10.4 | 10 | 7/25 (28%) |
Next game
- Home against the Minnesota Timberwolves on October 21, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
- This season the Minnesota Timberwolves allow 114.6 points per game (19th most allowed of 30).
- Against the Minnesota Timberwolves in stored games: 7 (Jan 6, 2026); 1 game, average 7.
Game preview · Minnesota Timberwolves stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ CHA | L | 6 | 22 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | @ WAS | W | 24 | 27 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ TOR | L | 10 | 32 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ TOR | L | 7 | 26 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs WAS | W | 16 | 24 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | vs BOS | L | 18 | 38 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 20 | 36 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | @ IND | L | 15 | 36 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 10 | 26 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | @ CLE | W | 14 | 34 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | vs SAS | L | 7 | 23 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ HOU | L | 19 | 31 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs LAL | L | 11 | 33 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ CHA | L | 14 | 28 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs ORL | L | 15 | 35 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs MIL | W | 28 | 38 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs WAS | W | 10 | 24 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | vs DET | W | 10 | 33 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ CHA | W | 11 | 29 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs BKN | W | 16 | 30 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Pelle Larsson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Pelle Larsson stats and game log
- Pelle Larsson in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Pelle Larsson points + rebounds + assists
- NBA points: every player