Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh Steelers QB) has averaged 1.5 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 2+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (16) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 17/20 (85%) | 4/5 (80%) | 14/16 (88%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 8/20 (40%) | 3/5 (60%) | 6/16 (38%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | 4/20 (20%) | 3/5 (60%) | 2/16 (13%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 1/20 (5%) | 0/5 (0%) | 2/16 (13%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 36.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 37.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32.6 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 36.8 |
| 2025 season | 16 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31.1 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 1.5 | 1 | 5/12 (42%) |
| Away | 9 | 1.8 | 1 | 4/9 (44%) |
| Team won | 13 | 1.8 | 1 | 6/13 (46%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/8 (38%) |
Next game
- At the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 1.4 passing touchdowns per game (15th most allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 22.4 points per game (15th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Game preview · Tampa Bay Buccaneers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | W | 3 | 31 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 3 | 40 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | W | 3 | 34 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | L | 0 | 39 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | W | 1 | 40 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | W | 1 | 47 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | L | 0 | 39 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | W | 1 | 41 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | W | 2 | 27 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | W | 1 | 34 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | L | 0 | 21 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | W | 1 | 15 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | L | 1 | 31 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | W | 1 | 35 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | L | 2 | 36 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | L | 4 | 34 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | W | 2 | 30 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs MIN | W | 1 | 22 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | W | 2 | 23 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 1 | 33 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Aaron Rodgers, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Aaron Rodgers stats and game log
- Aaron Rodgers in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Aaron Rodgers passing yards
- Aaron Rodgers completions
- Aaron Rodgers pass attempts
- Aaron Rodgers interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games