NFL passing touchdowns: prop research
27 NFL players ranked by their last-10 average of passing touchdowns in regular-season games over this season and last. Each name opens the player’s passing touchdowns page: every threshold, splits, the next opponent and the game log.
Passing Touchdowns: every player
| Player | Team | Last 10 avg | This season (games) | Median (last 20) | 1+ last 10 | 2+ last 10 | Next game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | SF QB | 2.5 | 2.6 (5) | 2 | 9/10 (90%) | 8/10 (80%) | vs Washington Commanders (3rd) |
| Joe Burrow | CIN QB | 2.4 | 2.2 (5) | 2 | 9/10 (90%) | 7/10 (70%) | at Baltimore Ravens (30th) |
| Matthew Stafford | LAR QB | 2.3 | 1.8 (5) | 3 | 8/10 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | vs Arizona Cardinals (3rd) |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX QB | 2.3 | 2 (5) | 1.5 | 8/10 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | vs Houston Texans (23rd) |
| Jared Goff | DET QB | 2.1 | 2.4 (5) | 2 | 10/10 (100%) | 6/10 (60%) | vs Green Bay Packers (23rd) |
| Jacoby Brissett | ARI QB | 1.9 | 1.8 (5) | 2 | 10/10 (100%) | 7/10 (70%) | at Los Angeles Rams (13th) |
| Kirk Cousins | LV QB | 1.9 | 2.4 (5) | 1 | 9/10 (90%) | 6/10 (60%) | vs Buffalo Bills (4th) |
| Bryce Young | CAR QB | 1.8 | 2.3 (4) | 1.5 | 9/10 (90%) | 6/10 (60%) | at Philadelphia Eagles (23rd) |
| Drake Maye | NE QB | 1.8 | 1.6 (5) | 2 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | vs New York Jets (23rd) |
| Jordan Love | GB QB | 1.8 | 2 (5) | 2 | 8/10 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | vs Dallas Cowboys (8th) |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI QB | 1.6 | 1.6 (5) | 2 | 8/10 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | vs Carolina Panthers (17th) |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT QB | 1.5 | 2 (5) | 1 | 8/10 (80%) | 4/10 (40%) | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (15th) |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU QB | 1.4 | 1.2 (5) | 1 | 9/10 (90%) | 4/10 (40%) | at Jacksonville Jaguars (31st) |
| Dak Prescott | DAL QB | 1.4 | 1.8 (5) | 2 | 8/10 (80%) | 4/10 (40%) | at Green Bay Packers (23rd) |
| Josh Allen | BUF QB | 1.4 | 1.4 (5) | 1.5 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | at Las Vegas Raiders (6th) |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC QB | 1.4 | 2.3 (4) | 1.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | vs Los Angeles Chargers (15th) |
| Tyler Shough | NO QB | 1.4 | 1.8 (5) | 1 | 8/10 (80%) | 3/10 (30%) | at New York Giants (11th) |
| Geno Smith | NYJ QB | 1.3 | 1.2 (5) | 1 | 9/10 (90%) | 3/10 (30%) | at New England Patriots (23rd) |
| Sam Darnold | SEA QB | 1.3 | 1.4 (5) | 1 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | vs Kansas City Chiefs (30th) |
| Bo Nix | DEN QB | 1.2 | 1 (6) | 1 | 8/10 (80%) | 2/10 (20%) | at Arizona Cardinals (3rd) |
| Justin Herbert | LAC QB | 1.2 | 1 (5) | 1 | 10/10 (100%) | 2/10 (20%) | at Kansas City Chiefs (30th) |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL QB | 1.2 | 1.5 (4) | 1 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | at Cleveland Browns (8th) |
| Baker Mayfield | TB QB | 1.1 | 0.7 (3) | 1 | 9/10 (90%) | 2/10 (20%) | vs Pittsburgh Steelers (30th) |
| Jayden Daniels | WSH QB | 1.1 | 1 (3) | 1 | 7/10 (70%) | 3/10 (30%) | at San Francisco 49ers (30th) |
| Marcus Mariota | WSH QB | 1.1 | 1.3 (3) | 1 | 7/10 (70%) | 3/10 (30%) | at San Francisco 49ers (30th) |
| Michael Penix Jr. | ATL QB | 1.1 | 1 (3) | 1 | 8/10 (80%) | 2/10 (20%) | vs Chicago Bears (23rd) |
| Daniel Jones | IND QB | 0.9 | 0.6 (5) | 1 | 7/10 (70%) | 2/10 (20%) | vs Tennessee Titans (30th) |
Statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines. The rank beside the next opponent is its passing touchdowns allowed per game to the player's position this season (1st = the most).
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