Michael Penix Jr. passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons QB) has averaged 1.1 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1 in 2026 (3 games), reaching 1+ in 8 of the last 10. Median over the last 12: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (3) | 2025 season (9) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 9/12 (75%) | 3/3 (100%) | 6/9 (67%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 2/10 (20%) | 2/12 (17%) | 0/3 (0%) | 2/9 (22%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/12 (8%) | 0/3 (0%) | 1/9 (11%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 |
| Last 20 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29.4 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25.7 |
| 2025 season | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30.7 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 (80%) |
| Away | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5/7 (71%) |
| Team won | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 (80%) |
| Team lost | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5/7 (71%) |
Next game
- Home against the Chicago Bears on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Chicago Bears allow 1.2 passing touchdowns per game (10th fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the Chicago Bears allow 19.2 points per game (27th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Chicago Bears.
Game preview · Chicago Bears stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs BAL | L | 1 | 32 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | @ NO | W | 1 | 20 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | @ GB | W | 1 | 25 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs CAR | L | 0 | 16 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ IND | L | 1 | 28 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ NE | L | 3 | 37 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ SF | L | 1 | 38 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | vs BUF | W | 1 | 32 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs WSH | W | 2 | 26 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ CAR | L | 0 | 36 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ MIN | W | 0 | 21 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs TB | L | 1 | 42 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Michael Penix Jr., with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Michael Penix Jr. stats and game log
- Michael Penix Jr. in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Michael Penix Jr. passing yards
- Michael Penix Jr. completions
- Michael Penix Jr. pass attempts
- Michael Penix Jr. interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games