Josh Allen passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills QB) has averaged 1.4 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.4 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 2+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (16) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | 15/20 (75%) | 4/5 (80%) | 12/16 (75%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 10/20 (50%) | 2/5 (40%) | 9/16 (56%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 5/20 (25%) | 1/5 (20%) | 4/16 (25%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27.1 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | 27.6 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27.6 |
| 2025 season | 16 | 1.6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28.8 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/11 (64%) |
| Away | 10 | 1.2 | 1 | 4/10 (40%) |
| Team won | 15 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 (53%) |
| Team lost | 6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3/6 (50%) |
Next game
- At the Las Vegas Raiders on October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Las Vegas Raiders allow 2.2 passing touchdowns per game (6th most allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the Las Vegas Raiders allow 25.8 points per game (10th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Game preview · Las Vegas Raiders stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | @ LAR | W | 1 | 19 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs NE | L | 1 | 33 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs LAC | W | 0 | 26 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | vs DET | W | 3 | 31 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ HOU | W | 2 | 29 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs PHI | L | 0 | 35 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ CLE | W | 0 | 19 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ NE | W | 3 | 28 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs CIN | W | 3 | 28 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ PIT | W | 1 | 23 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | @ HOU | L | 0 | 34 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs TB | W | 3 | 30 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIA | L | 2 | 40 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs KC | W | 1 | 26 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @ CAR | W | 1 | 19 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | @ ATL | L | 2 | 26 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs NE | L | 2 | 31 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs NO | W | 2 | 22 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | vs MIA | W | 3 | 28 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ NYJ | W | 0 | 25 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Josh Allen, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Josh Allen stats and game log
- Josh Allen in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Josh Allen passing yards
- Josh Allen rushing yards
- Josh Allen completions
- Josh Allen pass attempts
- Josh Allen interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games