Trevor Lawrence passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log

Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars QB) has averaged 2.3 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 2+ in 7 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.5.

Games through Oct 11, 2026 · Updated October 11, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Trevor Lawrence: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (5)2025 season (17)
1+ passing touchdowns4/5 (80%)8/10 (80%)16/20 (80%)4/5 (80%)14/17 (82%)
2+ passing touchdowns3/5 (60%)7/10 (70%)10/20 (50%)3/5 (60%)8/17 (47%)
3+ passing touchdowns2/5 (40%)5/10 (50%)6/20 (30%)2/5 (40%)5/17 (29%)
4+ passing touchdowns1/5 (20%)2/10 (20%)2/20 (10%)1/5 (20%)1/17 (6%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Trevor Lawrence: passing touchdowns per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighATT/g
Last 55220428.6
Last 10102.32.50530.8
Last 20201.81.50531.5
2026 season5220428.6
2025 season171.710532.9

Splits

Trevor Lawrence: passing touchdowns by split over the last 22 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian2+
Home122.127/12 (58%)
Away101.414/10 (40%)
Team won171.929/17 (53%)
Team lost51.412/5 (40%)

Next game

  • Home against the Houston Texans on October 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET.
  • Against quarterbacks this season the Houston Texans allow 1.2 passing touchdowns per game (10th fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
  • This season the Houston Texans allow 22.4 points per game (15th most allowed of 32).
  • Against the Houston Texans in stored games: 1 (Nov 9, 2025), 0 (Sep 21, 2025); 2 games, average 0.5.

Game preview · Houston Texans stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

Trevor Lawrence: passing touchdowns in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultPassing touchdownsATT
Oct 11, 2026vs PHIW239
Oct 4, 2026@ CINW123
Sep 27, 2026vs NEW329
Sep 20, 2026@ DENL029
Sep 13, 2026vs CLEW423
Jan 4, 2026vs TENW330
Dec 28, 2025@ INDW037
Dec 21, 2025@ DENW336
Dec 14, 2025vs NYJW532
Dec 7, 2025vs INDW230
Nov 30, 2025@ TENW227
Nov 23, 2025@ ARIW330
Nov 16, 2025vs LACW122
Nov 9, 2025@ HOUL123
Nov 2, 2025@ LVW034
Oct 19, 2025vs LARL148
Oct 12, 2025vs SEAL242
Oct 6, 2025vs KCW125
Sep 28, 2025@ SFW131
Sep 21, 2025vs HOUW040

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Trevor Lawrence, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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