Matthew Stafford passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams QB) has averaged 2.3 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.8 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 3+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 3.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 8/10 (80%) | 18/20 (90%) | 3/5 (60%) | 17/17 (100%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 8/10 (80%) | 17/20 (85%) | 3/5 (60%) | 15/17 (88%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 2/5 (40%) | 5/10 (50%) | 11/20 (55%) | 2/5 (40%) | 9/17 (53%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 5/20 (25%) | 1/5 (20%) | 4/17 (24%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 43.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | 41.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 2.6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 37.5 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 43.2 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 2.7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 35.1 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 2.6 | 3 | 7/11 (64%) |
| Away | 11 | 2.4 | 2 | 4/11 (36%) |
| Team won | 14 | 2.7 | 3 | 8/14 (57%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 2.1 | 2 | 3/8 (38%) |
Next game
- Home against the Arizona Cardinals on October 18, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Arizona Cardinals allow 2.8 passing touchdowns per game (3rd most allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the Arizona Cardinals allow 32.4 points per game (1st most allowed of 32).
- Against the Arizona Cardinals in stored games: 4 (Jan 4, 2026), 3 (Dec 7, 2025); 2 games, average 3.5.
Game preview · Arizona Cardinals stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 3 | 54 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ PHI | W | 0 | 51 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 2 | 55 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | vs NYG | W | 4 | 31 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | vs SF | L | 0 | 25 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs ARI | W | 4 | 40 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ ATL | L | 2 | 38 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @ SEA | L | 3 | 49 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs DET | W | 2 | 38 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ ARI | W | 3 | 31 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ CAR | L | 2 | 28 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs TB | W | 3 | 35 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs SEA | W | 2 | 28 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ SF | W | 4 | 36 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs NO | W | 4 | 32 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ JAX | W | 5 | 33 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ BAL | W | 1 | 26 |
| Oct 2, 2025 | vs SF | L | 3 | 47 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs IND | W | 3 | 41 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ PHI | L | 2 | 33 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Matthew Stafford, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Matthew Stafford stats and game log
- Matthew Stafford in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Matthew Stafford passing yards
- Matthew Stafford completions
- Matthew Stafford pass attempts
- Matthew Stafford interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games