Baker Mayfield passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB) has averaged 1.1 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.7 in 2026 (3 games), reaching 2+ in 2 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (3) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 18/20 (90%) | 2/3 (67%) | 16/17 (94%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 8/20 (40%) | 0/3 (0%) | 8/17 (47%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 2/20 (10%) | 0/3 (0%) | 2/17 (12%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29.9 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 0.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31.9 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/10 (40%) |
| Away | 10 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/10 (40%) |
| Team won | 8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4/8 (50%) |
| Team lost | 12 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/12 (33%) |
Next game
- Home against the Pittsburgh Steelers on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Pittsburgh Steelers allow 1 passing touchdowns per game (3rd fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the Pittsburgh Steelers allow 21.8 points per game (20th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Game preview · Pittsburgh Steelers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 1 | 34 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs CLE | L | 1 | 34 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ CIN | L | 0 | 28 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs CAR | W | 1 | 22 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ MIA | L | 2 | 44 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ CAR | L | 1 | 26 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | vs ATL | L | 2 | 34 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs NO | L | 1 | 30 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs ARI | W | 1 | 28 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ LAR | L | 1 | 19 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ BUF | L | 1 | 28 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs NE | L | 3 | 43 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @ NO | W | 0 | 24 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | @ DET | L | 1 | 50 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs SF | W | 2 | 23 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | @ SEA | W | 2 | 33 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs PHI | L | 2 | 40 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs NYJ | W | 1 | 29 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | @ HOU | W | 2 | 38 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | @ ATL | W | 3 | 32 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Baker Mayfield, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Baker Mayfield stats and game log
- Baker Mayfield in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Baker Mayfield passing yards
- Baker Mayfield completions
- Baker Mayfield pass attempts
- Baker Mayfield interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games