Sam Darnold passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Sam Darnold (Seattle Seahawks QB) has averaged 1.3 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.4 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 2+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 14/20 (70%) | 3/5 (60%) | 12/17 (71%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 9/20 (45%) | 2/5 (40%) | 8/17 (47%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 4/20 (20%) | 1/5 (20%) | 3/17 (18%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/20 (15%) | 1/5 (20%) | 2/17 (12%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28.5 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29.8 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28.1 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 1.2 | 1 | 4/11 (36%) |
| Away | 11 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/11 (55%) |
| Team won | 16 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 8/16 (50%) |
| Team lost | 6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2/6 (33%) |
Next game
- Home against the Kansas City Chiefs on October 25, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Kansas City Chiefs allow 1 passing touchdowns per game (3rd fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 4 games).
- This season the Kansas City Chiefs allow 19.3 points per game (26th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Game preview · Kansas City Chiefs stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 0 | 51 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs SF | L | 1 | 29 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs LAC | W | 2 | 22 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ WSH | L | 4 | 45 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | vs NE | W | 0 | 2 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @ SF | W | 0 | 26 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ CAR | W | 1 | 27 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | vs LAR | W | 2 | 34 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs IND | W | 0 | 36 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ ATL | W | 3 | 30 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs MIN | W | 0 | 26 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 2 | 26 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ LAR | L | 0 | 44 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs ARI | W | 1 | 12 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ WSH | W | 4 | 24 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | vs HOU | W | 1 | 31 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ JAX | W | 2 | 27 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs TB | L | 4 | 34 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | @ ARI | W | 1 | 26 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs NO | W | 2 | 18 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Sam Darnold, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Sam Darnold stats and game log
- Sam Darnold in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Sam Darnold passing yards
- Sam Darnold completions
- Sam Darnold pass attempts
- Sam Darnold interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games