Caleb Williams passing touchdowns stats: hit rates and game log
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears QB) has averaged 1.7 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1 in 2026 (3 games), reaching 2+ in 7 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.5.
On this page
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (3) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 16/20 (80%) | 2/3 (67%) | 14/17 (82%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 7/10 (70%) | 10/20 (50%) | 1/3 (33%) | 9/17 (53%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/20 (15%) | 0/3 (0%) | 3/17 (18%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 1/20 (5%) | 0/3 (0%) | 1/17 (6%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 33.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33.4 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 4 | 33 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30.3 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 1.6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33.4 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/9 (56%) |
| Away | 11 | 1.4 | 1 | 5/11 (45%) |
| Team won | 13 | 1.6 | 1 | 6/13 (46%) |
| Team lost | 7 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/7 (57%) |
Next game
- Home against the New England Patriots on October 22, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the New England Patriots allow 1.2 passing touchdowns per game (7th fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 6 games).
- This season the New England Patriots allow 18.8 points per game (28th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the New England Patriots.
Game preview · New England Patriots stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 1 | 36 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 0 | 26 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | W | 2 | 29 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs DET | L | 2 | 33 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ SF | L | 2 | 42 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs GB | W | 2 | 34 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs CLE | W | 2 | 28 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ GB | L | 2 | 35 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ PHI | W | 1 | 36 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs PIT | W | 3 | 35 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIN | W | 0 | 32 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs NYG | W | 1 | 36 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ CIN | W | 3 | 34 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @ BAL | L | 0 | 38 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs NO | W | 0 | 26 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | @ WSH | W | 1 | 29 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ LV | W | 1 | 37 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs DAL | W | 4 | 28 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ DET | L | 2 | 30 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | vs MIN | L | 1 | 35 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Caleb Williams, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Caleb Williams stats and game log
- Caleb Williams in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Caleb Williams passing yards
- Caleb Williams completions
- Caleb Williams pass attempts
- Caleb Williams interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games