Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs QB) has averaged 1.4 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2.3 in 2026 (4 games), reaching 2+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 18: 1.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (4) | 2025 season (14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 14/18 (78%) | 4/4 (100%) | 10/14 (71%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 9/18 (50%) | 4/4 (100%) | 5/14 (36%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 6/18 (33%) | 1/4 (25%) | 5/14 (36%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/18 (11%) | 0/4 (0%) | 2/14 (14%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 31.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0 | 4 | 34.8 |
| Last 20 | 18 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0 | 4 | 35 |
| 2026 season | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
| 2025 season | 14 | 1.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35.9 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 6/10 (60%) |
| Away | 8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/8 (38%) |
| Team won | 10 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 8/10 (80%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1/8 (13%) |
Next game
- Home against the Los Angeles Chargers on October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Los Angeles Chargers allow 1.4 passing touchdowns per game (15th most allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the Los Angeles Chargers allow 25.8 points per game (10th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Los Angeles Chargers in stored games: 0 (Dec 14, 2025), 1 (Sep 5, 2025); 2 games, average 0.5.
Game preview · Los Angeles Chargers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | W | 2 | 30 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 2 | 24 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs IND | W | 3 | 47 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 2 | 27 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs LAC | L | 0 | 28 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs HOU | L | 0 | 33 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | @ DAL | L | 4 | 34 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs IND | W | 0 | 46 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ DEN | L | 1 | 45 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ BUF | L | 0 | 34 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | vs WSH | W | 3 | 34 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs LV | W | 3 | 35 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs DET | W | 3 | 30 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | @ JAX | L | 1 | 41 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs BAL | W | 4 | 37 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ NYG | W | 1 | 37 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs PHI | L | 1 | 29 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | @ LAC | L | 1 | 39 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Patrick Mahomes, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Patrick Mahomes stats and game log
- Patrick Mahomes in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Patrick Mahomes passing yards
- Patrick Mahomes completions
- Patrick Mahomes pass attempts
- Patrick Mahomes interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games