Justin Herbert passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers QB) has averaged 1.2 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 2+ in 2 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (16) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 5/5 (100%) | 15/16 (94%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 2/10 (20%) | 7/20 (35%) | 0/5 (0%) | 8/16 (50%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 2/20 (10%) | 0/5 (0%) | 3/16 (19%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27.9 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31.1 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28.6 |
| 2025 season | 16 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | 32 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 1.6 | 1 | 4/12 (33%) |
| Away | 9 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/9 (44%) |
| Team won | 11 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/11 (64%) |
| Team lost | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 1/10 (10%) |
Next game
- At the Kansas City Chiefs on October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Kansas City Chiefs allow 1 passing touchdowns per game (3rd fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 4 games).
- This season the Kansas City Chiefs allow 19.3 points per game (26th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Kansas City Chiefs in stored games: 1 (Dec 14, 2025), 3 (Sep 5, 2025); 2 games, average 2.
Game preview · Kansas City Chiefs stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs DEN | L | 1 | 24 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ SEA | L | 1 | 31 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ BUF | L | 1 | 34 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs LV | L | 1 | 27 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs ARI | L | 1 | 27 |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs HOU | L | 1 | 32 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ DAL | W | 2 | 29 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ KC | W | 1 | 29 |
| Dec 8, 2025 | vs PHI | W | 1 | 26 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs LV | W | 2 | 20 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ JAX | L | 0 | 18 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs PIT | W | 1 | 33 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 2 | 29 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | vs MIN | W | 3 | 25 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs IND | L | 3 | 55 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ MIA | W | 2 | 38 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs WSH | L | 1 | 29 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ NYG | L | 1 | 41 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs DEN | W | 1 | 47 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | @ LV | W | 2 | 27 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Justin Herbert, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Justin Herbert stats and game log
- Justin Herbert in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Justin Herbert passing yards
- Justin Herbert rushing yards
- Justin Herbert completions
- Justin Herbert pass attempts
- Justin Herbert interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games