Joe Burrow passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals QB) has averaged 2.4 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 2.2 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 3+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 13: 2.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (8) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 5/5 (100%) | 9/10 (90%) | 12/13 (92%) | 5/5 (100%) | 7/8 (88%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 7/10 (70%) | 8/13 (62%) | 3/5 (60%) | 5/8 (63%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 2/5 (40%) | 5/10 (50%) | 5/13 (38%) | 2/5 (40%) | 3/8 (38%) |
| 4+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 3/13 (23%) | 1/5 (20%) | 2/8 (25%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | 36.6 |
| Last 20 | 13 | 2.2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34.5 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 2.2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37.8 |
| 2025 season | 8 | 2.1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32.4 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/6 (17%) |
| Away | 7 | 2.9 | 3 | 4/7 (57%) |
| Team won | 8 | 2.1 | 2 | 2/8 (25%) |
| Team lost | 5 | 2.2 | 3 | 3/5 (60%) |
Next game
- At the Baltimore Ravens on October 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the Baltimore Ravens allow 1 passing touchdowns per game (3rd fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the Baltimore Ravens allow 23.8 points per game (14th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Baltimore Ravens in stored games: 0 (Dec 14, 2025), 2 (Nov 27, 2025); 2 games, average 1.
Game preview · Baltimore Ravens stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 4 | 32 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs JAX | L | 1 | 54 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 3 | 37 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ HOU | W | 2 | 31 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs TB | W | 1 | 35 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs CLE | L | 3 | 39 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs ARI | W | 2 | 31 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ MIA | W | 4 | 32 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs BAL | L | 0 | 39 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ BUF | L | 4 | 36 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | @ BAL | W | 2 | 46 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs JAX | W | 1 | 13 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | @ CLE | W | 1 | 23 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Joe Burrow, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Joe Burrow stats and game log
- Joe Burrow in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Joe Burrow passing yards
- Joe Burrow completions
- Joe Burrow pass attempts
- Joe Burrow interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games