Darren Waller receptions: hit rates and game log
Darren Waller (Carolina Panthers TE) has averaged 2.9 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 3.3 in 2026 (4 games), reaching 4+ in 2 of the last 10. Median over the last 12: 3.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (4) | 2025 season (8) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 10/12 (83%) | 4/4 (100%) | 6/8 (75%) |
| 3+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 7/12 (58%) | 3/4 (75%) | 4/8 (50%) |
| 4+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 3/12 (25%) | 1/4 (25%) | 2/8 (25%) |
| 5+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 3/12 (25%) | 1/4 (25%) | 2/8 (25%) |
| 6+ receptions | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/12 (8%) | 0/4 (0%) | 1/8 (13%) |
| 7+ receptions | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/12 (8%) | 0/4 (0%) | 1/8 (13%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 7 | 4.4 |
| Last 20 | 12 | 3.1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4.4 |
| 2026 season | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4.8 |
| 2025 season | 8 | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | 7 | 4.3 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 2.3 | 2 | 0/7 (0%) |
| Away | 5 | 4.2 | 5 | 3/5 (60%) |
| Team won | 6 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0/6 (0%) |
| Team lost | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3/6 (50%) |
Next game
- At the Philadelphia Eagles on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against tight ends this season the Philadelphia Eagles allow 5 receptions per game (15th fewest allowed of 32; league average 5.4; 5 games).
- This season the Philadelphia Eagles allow 238.8 passing yards per game (7th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Game preview · Philadelphia Eagles stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | W | 3 | 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 5 | 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 3 | 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | L | 2 | 2 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs TB | W | 1 | 3 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs CIN | L | 3 | 5 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | @ PIT | L | 7 | 8 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ NYJ | W | 1 | 3 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs NO | W | 2 | 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAC | L | 2 | 3 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | @ CAR | L | 5 | 5 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | vs NYJ | W | 3 | 4 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Darren Waller, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Darren Waller stats and game log
- Darren Waller in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Darren Waller receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games