DK Metcalf receptions: hit rates and game log
DK Metcalf (Pittsburgh Steelers WR) has averaged 4.1 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 3.8 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 4+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 4.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (15) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 5/5 (100%) | 14/15 (93%) |
| 4+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 11/20 (55%) | 3/5 (60%) | 8/15 (53%) |
| 5+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 6/20 (30%) | 1/5 (20%) | 5/15 (33%) |
| 6+ receptions | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/20 (5%) | 0/5 (0%) | 1/15 (7%) |
| 7+ receptions | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/20 (5%) | 0/5 (0%) | 1/15 (7%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.8 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7.4 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 3.9 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6.8 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 3.8 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7.4 |
| 2025 season | 15 | 3.9 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6.6 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 3.6 | 3 | 5/11 (45%) |
| Away | 9 | 4.2 | 4 | 6/9 (67%) |
| Team won | 12 | 3.9 | 4 | 7/12 (58%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 4/8 (50%) |
Next game
- At the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 10.6 receptions per game (13th fewest allowed of 32; league average 11.5; 5 games).
- This season the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 226.6 passing yards per game (13th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Game preview · Tampa Bay Buccaneers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | W | 3 | 4 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 5 | 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | W | 3 | 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | L | 4 | 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | W | 4 | 10 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | W | 4 | 9 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | W | 3 | 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | W | 7 | 12 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | L | 3 | 5 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | L | 5 | 8 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | W | 5 | 8 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | L | 3 | 7 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | W | 2 | 4 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | L | 5 | 7 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | L | 3 | 5 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | W | 4 | 9 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs MIN | W | 5 | 5 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | W | 3 | 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 3 | 6 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | @ NYJ | W | 4 | 7 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for DK Metcalf, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- DK Metcalf stats and game log
- DK Metcalf in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- DK Metcalf receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games