Luther Burden III receptions: hit rates and game log
Luther Burden III (Chicago Bears WR) has averaged 4.8 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 4.6 in 2026 (5 games), reaching 4+ in 8 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 3.
On this page
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (5) | 2025 season (15) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 16/20 (80%) | 5/5 (100%) | 11/15 (73%) |
| 3+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 15/20 (75%) | 5/5 (100%) | 10/15 (67%) |
| 4+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 9/20 (45%) | 4/5 (80%) | 5/15 (33%) |
| 5+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 4/20 (20%) | 2/5 (40%) | 2/15 (13%) |
| 6+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 3/20 (15%) | 1/5 (20%) | 2/15 (13%) |
| 7+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 2/20 (10%) | 1/5 (20%) | 1/15 (7%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 6.7 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 3.5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4.8 |
| 2026 season | 5 | 4.6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2025 season | 15 | 3.1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 3.4 | 3 | 3/10 (30%) |
| Away | 10 | 3.6 | 4 | 6/10 (60%) |
| Team won | 12 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 6/12 (50%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 3.1 | 3 | 3/8 (38%) |
Next game
- At the Atlanta Falcons on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Atlanta Falcons allow 14.6 receptions per game (5th most allowed of 32; league average 11.5; 5 games).
- This season the Atlanta Falcons allow 248.4 passing yards per game (6th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Atlanta Falcons.
Game preview · Atlanta Falcons stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | L | 4 | 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | W | 4 | 6 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 7 | 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 3 | 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | W | 5 | 5 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs DET | L | 3 | 4 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ SF | L | 8 | 9 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs CLE | W | 6 | 7 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ GB | L | 4 | 6 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ PHI | W | 4 | 6 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs PIT | W | 3 | 5 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIN | W | 3 | 5 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs NYG | W | 3 | 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @ BAL | L | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs NO | W | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | @ WSH | W | 4 | 4 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ LV | W | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs DAL | W | 3 | 3 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ DET | L | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | vs MIN | L | 1 | 1 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Luther Burden III, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Luther Burden III stats and game log
- Luther Burden III in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Luther Burden III receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games