Marcus Mariota passing touchdowns: hit rates and game log
Marcus Mariota (Washington Commanders QB) has averaged 1.1 passing touchdowns per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.3 in 2026 (3 games), reaching 2+ in 3 of the last 10. Median over the last 13: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (3) | 2025 season (10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ passing touchdowns | 3/5 (60%) | 7/10 (70%) | 9/13 (69%) | 2/3 (67%) | 7/10 (70%) |
| 2+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 4/13 (31%) | 1/3 (33%) | 3/10 (30%) |
| 3+ passing touchdowns | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 1/13 (8%) | 1/3 (33%) | 0/10 (0%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the passing touchdowns recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | ATT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 |
| Last 20 | 13 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21.4 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 |
| 2025 season | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22.7 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3/6 (50%) |
| Away | 7 | 0.9 | 1 | 1/7 (14%) |
| Team won | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | 1/3 (33%) |
| Team lost | 10 | 0.9 | 1 | 3/10 (30%) |
Next game
- At the San Francisco 49ers on October 19, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET.
- Against quarterbacks this season the San Francisco 49ers allow 1 passing touchdowns per game (3rd fewest allowed of 32; league average 1.5; 5 games).
- This season the San Francisco 49ers allow 18.6 points per game (30th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the San Francisco 49ers.
Game preview · San Francisco 49ers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing touchdowns | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs IND | L | 0 | 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 3 | 31 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ DAL | L | 1 | 16 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs PHI | L | 0 | 14 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ NYG | W | 1 | 19 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ MIN | L | 0 | 4 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs DEN | L | 2 | 50 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIA | L | 1 | 30 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs DET | L | 2 | 22 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | @ KC | L | 1 | 30 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ DAL | L | 0 | 10 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ ATL | L | 2 | 27 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs LV | W | 1 | 21 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Marcus Mariota, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Marcus Mariota stats and game log
- Marcus Mariota in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Marcus Mariota passing yards
- Marcus Mariota interceptions thrown
- NFL passing touchdowns: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games