Tetairoa McMillan receptions: hit rates and game log
Tetairoa McMillan (Carolina Panthers WR) has averaged 4.2 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 6.5 in 2026 (4 games), reaching 5+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 4.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (4) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 18/20 (90%) | 4/4 (100%) | 15/17 (88%) |
| 3+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 15/20 (75%) | 3/4 (75%) | 13/17 (76%) |
| 4+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | 12/20 (60%) | 3/4 (75%) | 10/17 (59%) |
| 5+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 9/20 (45%) | 3/4 (75%) | 7/17 (41%) |
| 6+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 6/20 (30%) | 1/4 (25%) | 5/17 (29%) |
| 7+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/20 (15%) | 1/4 (25%) | 2/17 (12%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 4.5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7.6 |
| 2026 season | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9.8 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 4.1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7.2 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 5.1 | 5 | 6/10 (60%) |
| Away | 11 | 4.1 | 4 | 4/11 (36%) |
| Team won | 10 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 5/10 (50%) |
| Team lost | 11 | 3.9 | 4 | 5/11 (45%) |
Next game
- At the Philadelphia Eagles on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Philadelphia Eagles allow 12.8 receptions per game (9th most allowed of 32; league average 11.5; 5 games).
- This season the Philadelphia Eagles allow 238.8 passing yards per game (7th most allowed of 32).
- No stored game against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Game preview · Philadelphia Eagles stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | W | 14 | 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 2 | 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 5 | 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | L | 5 | 8 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @ TB | L | 4 | 6 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 1 | 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs TB | W | 6 | 10 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ NO | L | 2 | 4 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs LAR | W | 1 | 2 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ SF | L | 2 | 7 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ ATL | W | 8 | 12 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs NO | L | 5 | 8 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ GB | W | 4 | 6 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs BUF | L | 7 | 10 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ NYJ | W | 3 | 5 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs DAL | W | 3 | 5 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs MIA | W | 6 | 8 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ NE | L | 4 | 8 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs ATL | W | 3 | 8 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ ARI | L | 6 | 10 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Tetairoa McMillan, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Tetairoa McMillan stats and game log
- Tetairoa McMillan in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Tetairoa McMillan receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games