Travis Kelce receptions: hit rates and game log
Travis Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs TE) has averaged 3.8 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 4 in 2026 (4 games), reaching 5+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 4.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (4) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 18/20 (90%) | 4/4 (100%) | 15/17 (88%) |
| 3+ receptions | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 16/20 (80%) | 2/4 (50%) | 14/17 (82%) |
| 4+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 4/10 (40%) | 13/20 (65%) | 1/4 (25%) | 12/17 (71%) |
| 5+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 4/10 (40%) | 9/20 (45%) | 1/4 (25%) | 8/17 (47%) |
| 6+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 6/20 (30%) | 1/4 (25%) | 5/17 (29%) |
| 7+ receptions | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 4/20 (20%) | 1/4 (25%) | 3/17 (18%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.8 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5.8 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 4.5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6.3 |
| 2026 season | 4 | 4 | 2.5 | 2 | 9 | 5.5 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 4.5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6.4 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11 | 4.8 | 5 | 6/11 (55%) |
| Away | 10 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3/10 (30%) |
| Team won | 10 | 4.4 | 4 | 4/10 (40%) |
| Team lost | 11 | 4.4 | 4 | 5/11 (45%) |
Next game
- Home against the Los Angeles Chargers on October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET.
- Against tight ends this season the Los Angeles Chargers allow 4.2 receptions per game (6th fewest allowed of 32; league average 5.4; 5 games).
- This season the Los Angeles Chargers allow 193 passing yards per game (27th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Los Angeles Chargers in stored games: 7 (Dec 14, 2025), 2 (Sep 5, 2025); 2 games, average 4.5.
Game preview · Los Angeles Chargers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | W | 2 | 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs IND | W | 9 | 11 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 3 | 5 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ LV | L | 3 | 6 |
| Dec 25, 2025 | vs DEN | L | 5 | 6 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ TEN | L | 1 | 4 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs LAC | L | 7 | 9 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs HOU | L | 1 | 5 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | @ DAL | L | 5 | 6 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs IND | W | 4 | 6 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ DEN | L | 9 | 13 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ BUF | L | 4 | 5 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | vs WSH | W | 6 | 8 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs LV | W | 3 | 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs DET | W | 6 | 7 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | @ JAX | L | 7 | 8 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs BAL | W | 5 | 5 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ NYG | W | 4 | 7 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs PHI | L | 4 | 6 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Travis Kelce, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Travis Kelce stats and game log
- Travis Kelce in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Travis Kelce receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games