Zay Flowers receptions: hit rates and game log
Zay Flowers (Baltimore Ravens WR) has averaged 5.4 receptions per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 6.5 in 2026 (4 games), reaching 6+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (4) | 2025 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 9/10 (90%) | 18/20 (90%) | 4/4 (100%) | 15/17 (88%) |
| 4+ receptions | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 16/20 (80%) | 4/4 (100%) | 13/17 (76%) |
| 5+ receptions | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 13/20 (65%) | 4/4 (100%) | 10/17 (59%) |
| 6+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 8/20 (40%) | 2/4 (50%) | 7/17 (41%) |
| 7+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 2/4 (50%) | 6/17 (35%) |
| 8+ receptions | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 3/20 (15%) | 2/4 (50%) | 1/17 (6%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the receptions recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TGT/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 7.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.4 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 5.3 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 |
| 2026 season | 4 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 8 | 7.8 |
| 2025 season | 17 | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6.9 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 6/10 (60%) |
| Away | 11 | 5 | 5 | 3/11 (27%) |
| Team won | 12 | 5.3 | 5 | 4/12 (33%) |
| Team lost | 9 | 5.3 | 6 | 5/9 (56%) |
Next game
- At the Cleveland Browns on October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
- Against wide receivers this season the Cleveland Browns allow 11 receptions per game (16th most allowed of 32; league average 11.5; 5 games).
- This season the Cleveland Browns allow 216.6 passing yards per game (20th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Cleveland Browns in stored games: 3 (Nov 16, 2025), 7 (Sep 14, 2025); 2 games, average 5.
Game preview · Cleveland Browns stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions | TGT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 8 | 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | W | 8 | 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ DAL | W | 5 | 6 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | W | 5 | 6 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 4 | 6 |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ GB | W | 4 | 5 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs NE | L | 7 | 7 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ CIN | W | 3 | 5 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs PIT | L | 8 | 11 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | vs CIN | L | 2 | 7 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs NYJ | W | 5 | 6 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ CLE | W | 3 | 5 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIN | W | 4 | 6 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ MIA | W | 5 | 5 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs CHI | W | 7 | 9 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAR | L | 6 | 10 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs HOU | L | 5 | 5 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ KC | L | 7 | 8 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | vs DET | L | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs CLE | W | 7 | 11 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Zay Flowers, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Zay Flowers stats and game log
- Zay Flowers in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Zay Flowers receiving yards
- NFL receptions: every player
- NFL defense vs position: what each defense allows to QB, RB, WR and TE
- NFL target share: every receiver, season and last 3 games