Alex DeBrincat goals: hit rates and game log
Alex DeBrincat (Detroit Red Wings RW) has averaged 0.6 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.7 in 2026-27 (6 games), reaching 1+ in 4 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (6) | 2025-26 season (19) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ goals | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 9/20 (45%) | 2/6 (33%) | 7/19 (37%) |
| 2+ goals | 2/5 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | 3/20 (15%) | 2/6 (33%) | 1/19 (5%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:16 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:29 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 |
| 2026-27 season | 6 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 |
| 2025-26 season | 19 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14 | 0.6 | 0 | 6/14 (43%) |
| Away | 11 | 0.4 | 0 | 3/11 (27%) |
| Team won | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5/7 (71%) |
| Team lost | 18 | 0.3 | 0 | 4/18 (22%) |
Next game
- Home against the Philadelphia Flyers on October 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.
- This season the Philadelphia Flyers allow 3.9 goals per game (6th most allowed of 32).
- Against the Philadelphia Flyers in stored games: 1 (Apr 9, 2026), 2 (Apr 2, 2026), 1 (Mar 28, 2026); 3 games, average 1.3.
Game preview · Philadelphia Flyers stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Goals | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | vs NJD | L | 2 | 21:25 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ MTL | L | 0 | 21:50 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | vs SEA | L | 0 | 16:02 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | vs OTT | W | 2 | 18:45 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs WPG | L | 0 | 23:16 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | vs NYR | L | 0 | 19:43 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | @ FLA | L | 0 | 18:38 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | @ TBL | L | 1 | 17:51 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs NJD | L | 0 | 21:12 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 1 | 16:06 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs CBJ | L | 0 | 17:54 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 0 | 18:58 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 0 | 22:22 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ PHI | W | 2 | 18:20 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 0 | 18:26 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 1 | 22:36 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | @ BUF | W | 1 | 18:56 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 0 | 21:19 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs BOS | L | 1 | 21:48 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs MTL | W | 1 | 19:11 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Alex DeBrincat, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Alex DeBrincat stats and game log
- Alex DeBrincat in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Alex DeBrincat shots on goal
- Alex DeBrincat points
- Alex DeBrincat assists
- NHL goals: every player
