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Brock Nelson points: hit rates and game log

Brock Nelson (Colorado Avalanche C) has averaged 0.7 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.9 in 2026-27 (7 games), reaching 1+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.

Games through Oct 14, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Brock Nelson: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026-27 season (7)2025-26 season (18)
1+ points3/5 (60%)5/10 (50%)12/20 (60%)4/7 (57%)10/18 (56%)
2+ points0/5 (0%)1/10 (10%)2/20 (10%)1/7 (14%)1/18 (6%)
3+ points0/5 (0%)1/10 (10%)1/20 (5%)1/7 (14%)0/18 (0%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Brock Nelson: points per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighTOI/g
Last 550.610118:34
Last 10100.70.50318:41
Last 20200.810319:02
2026-27 season70.910318:20
2025-26 season180.610220:00

Splits

Brock Nelson: points by split over the last 25 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home130.818/13 (62%)
Away120.50.56/12 (50%)
Team won150.718/15 (53%)
Team lost100.616/10 (60%)

Next game

  • Home against the Pittsburgh Penguins on October 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET.
  • This season the Pittsburgh Penguins allow 3.1 goals per game (14th most allowed of 32).
  • Against the Pittsburgh Penguins in stored games: 1 (Mar 24, 2026), 0 (Mar 16, 2026); 2 games, average 0.5.

Game preview · Pittsburgh Penguins stats and results

Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.

Game log

Brock Nelson: points in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultPointsTOI
Oct 14, 2026vs DALL123:02
Oct 13, 2026@ DALW019:39
Oct 10, 2026vs TORL117:47
Oct 8, 2026@ CGYW115:35
Oct 7, 2026@ WPGL016:50
Oct 3, 2026vs STLW016:11
Sep 30, 2026vs LAKW319:14
Apr 16, 2026vs SEAW019:21
Apr 13, 2026@ EDMW019:11
Apr 11, 2026vs VGKL119:59
Apr 9, 2026vs CGYW016:51
Apr 7, 2026@ STLW119:13
Apr 5, 2026vs STLL121:25
Apr 4, 2026@ DALW021:38
Apr 1, 2026vs VANL122:29
Mar 30, 2026vs CGYW216:46
Mar 28, 2026vs WPGL120:19
Mar 26, 2026@ WPGW019:15
Mar 24, 2026@ PITW115:50
Mar 22, 2026@ WSHW120:13

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Brock Nelson, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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