Colten Ellis saves: hit rates and game log
Colten Ellis (Buffalo Sabres G) has averaged 22.8 saves per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 17 in 2026-27 (3 games), reaching 24+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 19: 26.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (3) | 2025-26 season (16) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ saves | 3/5 (60%) | 7/10 (70%) | 15/19 (79%) | 1/3 (33%) | 14/16 (88%) |
| 22+ saves | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 13/19 (68%) | 1/3 (33%) | 12/16 (75%) |
| 24+ saves | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 12/19 (63%) | 1/3 (33%) | 11/16 (69%) |
| 26+ saves | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 10/19 (53%) | 1/3 (33%) | 9/16 (56%) |
| 28+ saves | 1/5 (20%) | 3/10 (30%) | 9/19 (47%) | 0/3 (0%) | 9/16 (56%) |
| 30+ saves | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 6/19 (32%) | 0/3 (0%) | 6/16 (38%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the saves recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | SA/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 22.6 | 25 | 7 | 37 | 24.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 22.8 | 22.5 | 7 | 37 | 25.4 |
| Last 20 | 19 | 24.3 | 26 | 6 | 37 | 27.1 |
| 2026-27 season | 3 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 26 | 19.7 |
| 2025-26 season | 16 | 25.7 | 28.5 | 6 | 37 | 28.4 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 24+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 25.1 | 27 | 7/10 (70%) |
| Away | 9 | 23.4 | 24 | 5/9 (56%) |
| Team won | 11 | 21.9 | 22 | 5/11 (45%) |
| Team lost | 8 | 27.6 | 28.5 | 7/8 (88%) |
Next game
- At the Toronto Maple Leafs on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Toronto Maple Leafs average 27.6 shots on goal per game (14th most of 32).
- Against the Toronto Maple Leafs in stored games: 16 (Jan 27, 2026); 1 game, average 16.
Toronto Maple Leafs stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Saves | SA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs FLA | W | 7 | 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs UTA | L | 26 | 30 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 18 | 20 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | vs DAL | L | 25 | 28 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs CBJ | W | 37 | 37 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ WSH | L | 20 | 23 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | @ TBL | L | 31 | 35 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | @ TOR | W | 16 | 18 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vs MTL | W | 20 | 23 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | vs FLA | L | 28 | 31 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @ NYR | W | 30 | 32 |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ EDM | W | 6 | 6 |
| Dec 3, 2025 | @ PHI | L | 30 | 35 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ MIN | W | 22 | 24 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs CGY | L | 29 | 35 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vs EDM | W | 32 | 33 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ DET | W | 24 | 28 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ UTA | L | 32 | 36 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | vs DET | W | 29 | 31 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Colten Ellis, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Colten Ellis stats and game log
- Colten Ellis in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- NHL saves: every player