Connor McDavid goals: hit rates and game log
Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers C) has averaged 0.8 goals per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.7 in 2026-27 (6 games), reaching 1+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (6) | 2025-26 season (19) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ goals | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 12/20 (60%) | 4/6 (67%) | 10/19 (53%) |
| 2+ goals | 0/5 (0%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/20 (10%) | 0/6 (0%) | 2/19 (11%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the goals recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:42 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:33 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:53 |
| 2026-27 season | 6 | 0.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:34 |
| 2025-26 season | 19 | 0.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:39 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 0.4 | 0 | 5/12 (42%) |
| Away | 13 | 0.9 | 1 | 9/13 (69%) |
| Team won | 16 | 0.8 | 1 | 10/16 (63%) |
| Team lost | 9 | 0.4 | 0 | 4/9 (44%) |
Next game
- Home against the Utah Mammoth on October 15, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET.
- This season the Utah Mammoth allow 2.7 goals per game (22nd most allowed of 32).
- Against the Utah Mammoth in stored games: 1 (Apr 7, 2026), 2 (Mar 24, 2026); 2 games, average 1.5.
Game preview · Utah Mammoth stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Goals | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ LAK | W | 1 | 21:37 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ SJS | W | 0 | 24:04 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | @ ANA | W | 1 | 24:31 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 1 | 26:17 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ VAN | W | 1 | 22:03 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs VAN | L | 0 | 22:51 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | vs VAN | W | 0 | 18:16 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | vs COL | L | 1 | 27:55 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ LAK | L | 0 | 26:50 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | @ SJS | W | 3 | 21:10 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ UTA | L | 1 | 22:05 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs VGK | L | 0 | 23:25 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs CHI | W | 0 | 22:24 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 1 | 19:46 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs ANA | W | 1 | 22:29 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ VGK | W | 1 | 22:12 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ UTA | W | 2 | 20:42 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs TBL | L | 1 | 22:42 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs FLA | L | 0 | 21:29 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs SJS | W | 0 | 24:52 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Connor McDavid, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Connor McDavid stats and game log
- Connor McDavid in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Connor McDavid shots on goal
- Connor McDavid points
- Connor McDavid assists
- NHL goals: every player