Matthew Tkachuk points: hit rates and game log
Matthew Tkachuk (Florida Panthers LW) has averaged 1.3 points per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 1.4 in 2026-27 (8 games), reaching 2+ in 2 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 1.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026-27 season (8) | 2025-26 season (17) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ points | 5/5 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | 14/20 (70%) | 7/8 (88%) | 11/17 (65%) |
| 2+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 2/10 (20%) | 6/20 (30%) | 1/8 (13%) | 7/17 (41%) |
| 3+ points | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 2/20 (10%) | 1/8 (13%) | 2/17 (12%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the points recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | TOI/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19:32 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:45 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:55 |
| 2026-27 season | 8 | 1.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 |
| 2025-26 season | 17 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:47 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 1.4 | 1 | 4/9 (44%) |
| Away | 16 | 1.2 | 1 | 4/16 (25%) |
| Team won | 12 | 1.7 | 1 | 5/12 (42%) |
| Team lost | 13 | 0.9 | 1 | 3/13 (23%) |
Next game
- Home against the Vancouver Canucks on October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- This season the Vancouver Canucks allow 4.8 goals per game (2nd most allowed of 32).
- Against the Vancouver Canucks in stored games: 1 (Oct 15, 2026), 2 (Mar 17, 2026); 2 games, average 1.5.
Vancouver Canucks stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs VAN | W | 1 | 21:59 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ CBJ | W | 5 | 17:20 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | @ BUF | L | 1 | 18:25 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 1 | 18:33 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | @ LAK | W | 1 | 21:25 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ ANA | L | 1 | 23:28 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ SJS | L | 1 | 22:47 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | @ CAR | W | 0 | 19:01 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | vs DET | W | 2 | 13:19 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 0 | 21:09 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 1 | 15:41 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | vs BOS | W | 0 | 18:17 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs OTT | W | 4 | 17:13 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 0 | 19:03 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ NYI | L | 2 | 23:43 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 2 | 18:19 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 0 | 19:59 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | @ CGY | L | 0 | 15:40 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | @ EDM | W | 1 | 14:50 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ VAN | L | 2 | 18:18 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Matthew Tkachuk, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Matthew Tkachuk stats and game log
- Matthew Tkachuk in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Matthew Tkachuk shots on goal
- Matthew Tkachuk goals
- Matthew Tkachuk assists
- NHL points: every player