Connelly Early outs recorded: hit rates and game log
Connelly Early (Washington Nationals SP) has averaged 15.6 outs recorded per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 15.8 in 2026 (18 games), reaching 16+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 15.5.
Games through Sep 26, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records
How often each threshold was reached
Connelly Early: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 13+ matches an over 12.5 line)
Threshold
Last 5
Last 10
Last 20
2026 season (18)
2025 season (4)
13+ outs recorded
3/5 (60%)
8/10 (80%)
15/20 (75%)
14/18 (78%)
3/4 (75%)
14+ outs recorded
3/5 (60%)
8/10 (80%)
14/20 (70%)
13/18 (72%)
3/4 (75%)
15+ outs recorded
2/5 (40%)
6/10 (60%)
12/20 (60%)
11/18 (61%)
3/4 (75%)
16+ outs recorded
2/5 (40%)
5/10 (50%)
10/20 (50%)
10/18 (56%)
1/4 (25%)
17+ outs recorded
2/5 (40%)
4/10 (40%)
7/20 (35%)
7/18 (39%)
0/4 (0%)
18+ outs recorded
2/5 (40%)
4/10 (40%)
7/20 (35%)
7/18 (39%)
0/4 (0%)
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the outs recorded recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
Connelly Early: outs recorded per game by window, regular season
Games
Played
Average
Median
Low
High
PIT/g
Last 5
5
14.2
14
9
18
76.4
Last 10
10
15.6
15.5
9
21
85
Last 20
20
15.6
15.5
9
21
85.8
2026 season
18
15.8
16
9
21
86.8
2025 season
4
14.5
15
12
16
80.8
Splits
Connelly Early: outs recorded by split over the last 22 regular-season games
Split
Games
Average
Median
16+
Home
12
15.2
15.5
6/12 (50%)
Away
10
16
15.5
5/10 (50%)
Team won
8
18.8
18.5
7/8 (88%)
Team lost
14
13.7
14
4/14 (29%)
Game log
Connelly Early: outs recorded in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
