Connelly Early strikeouts: hit rates and game log

Connelly Early (Washington Nationals SP) has averaged 5.5 strikeouts per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 5.2 in 2026 (18 games), reaching 6+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 5.

Games through Sep 26, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Connelly Early: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 3+ matches an over 2.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (18)2025 season (4)
3+ strikeouts4/5 (80%)9/10 (90%)19/20 (95%)17/18 (94%)4/4 (100%)
4+ strikeouts3/5 (60%)8/10 (80%)17/20 (85%)15/18 (83%)4/4 (100%)
5+ strikeouts3/5 (60%)8/10 (80%)13/20 (65%)12/18 (67%)3/4 (75%)
6+ strikeouts2/5 (40%)6/10 (60%)9/20 (45%)8/18 (44%)3/4 (75%)
7+ strikeouts2/5 (40%)3/10 (30%)5/20 (25%)4/18 (22%)3/4 (75%)
8+ strikeouts1/5 (20%)1/10 (10%)2/20 (10%)2/18 (11%)1/4 (25%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the strikeouts recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Connelly Early: strikeouts per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighIP/g
Last 5555194.2
Last 10105.56195.1
Last 20205.35195.1
2026 season185.25195.1
2025 season47.374114.2

Splits

Connelly Early: strikeouts by split over the last 22 regular-season games
SplitGamesAverageMedian6+
Home125.35.56/12 (50%)
Away105.95.55/10 (50%)
Team won8775/8 (63%)
Team lost144.856/14 (43%)

Game log

Connelly Early: strikeouts in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultStrikeoutsIP
Sep 26, 2026vs NYML13.0
Jun 30, 2026vs WSHL54.0
Jun 25, 2026vs NYYW96.0
Jun 20, 2026@ SEAW76.0
Jun 14, 2026vs TEXL34.2
Jun 8, 2026@ TBL64.2
Jun 2, 2026vs BALL65.1
May 27, 2026vs ATLW77.0
May 20, 2026@ KCW56.1
May 15, 2026@ ATLL65.0
May 8, 2026vs TBW87.0
May 2, 2026vs HOUL34.0
Apr 26, 2026@ BALW46.2
Apr 21, 2026vs NYYL45.1
Apr 15, 2026@ MINW56.0
Apr 10, 2026@ STLL54.1
Apr 4, 2026vs SDL44.0
Mar 29, 2026@ CINL65.1
Sep 27, 2025vs DETL75.0
Sep 21, 2025@ TBL44.0

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Connelly Early, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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