Nolan Arenado home runs: hit rates and game log

Nolan Arenado (Arizona Diamondbacks 3B) has averaged 0.5 home runs per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 0.2 in 2026 (100 games), reaching 1+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 0.

Games through Sep 27, 2026 · Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

How often each threshold was reached

Nolan Arenado: games reaching each threshold (statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines; 1+ matches an over 0.5 line)
ThresholdLast 5Last 10Last 202026 season (100)
1+ home runs2/5 (40%)5/10 (50%)9/20 (45%)22/100 (22%)
2+ home runs0/5 (0%)0/10 (0%)0/20 (0%)1/100 (1%)

Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the home runs recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.

Averages and range

Nolan Arenado: home runs per game by window, regular season
GamesPlayedAverageMedianLowHighAB/g
Last 550.40013.6
Last 10100.50.5013.9
Last 20200.50013.6
2026 season1000.20023.6

Splits

Nolan Arenado: home runs by split over the last 40 regular-season games; opponent thirds use this season’s ranks
SplitGamesAverageMedian1+
Home210.306/21 (29%)
Away190.406/19 (32%)
Team won230.408/23 (35%)
Team lost170.204/17 (24%)
vs the top third allowing the most runs460.209/46 (20%)
vs the bottom third350.3010/35 (29%)

Game log

Nolan Arenado: home runs in the last 20 regular-season games, most recent first
DateOpponentResultHome runsAB
Sep 27, 2026@ SDL03
Sep 26, 2026@ SDL03
Sep 25, 2026@ SDW13
Sep 24, 2026@ COLW15
Sep 23, 2026@ COLW04
Sep 22, 2026@ COLW15
Sep 20, 2026vs NYYW14
Sep 19, 2026vs NYYW04
Sep 18, 2026vs NYYL04
Sep 16, 2026vs MIAL14
Sep 15, 2026vs MIAL03
Sep 14, 2026vs MIAW04
Sep 13, 2026vs TEXL14
Sep 12, 2026vs TEXL02
Sep 11, 2026vs TEXW13
Sep 9, 2026@ KCL13
Sep 8, 2026@ KCW03
Sep 7, 2026@ KCW04
Sep 6, 2026@ HOUW14
Sep 5, 2026@ HOUW04

About this page

  • Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
  • Only games Nolan Arenado started are counted where his lineup status is known: sportsbooks void a pre-game batter prop when the player does not start.
  • Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Nolan Arenado, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
  • Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.

This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.

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