MLB home runs: prop research

96 MLB players ranked by their last-10 average of home runs in regular-season games over this season and last. Each name opens the player’s home runs page: every threshold, splits, the next opponent and the game log.

Updated October 15, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET · StatsNext box-score records

Home Runs: every player

MLB home runs, highest last-10 average first
PlayerTeamLast 10 avgThis season (games)Median (last 20)1+ last 102+ last 10Next game
Pete AlonsoBAL 1B0.80.3 (100)06/10 (60%)2/10 (20%)–
Rafael DeversSF 1B0.70.3 (100)0.56/10 (60%)1/10 (10%)–
Brandon LowePIT 2B0.50.2 (98)05/10 (50%)0/10 (0%)–
Nolan ArenadoARI 3B0.50.2 (100)05/10 (50%)0/10 (0%)–
Vinnie PasquantinoKC 1B0.50.2 (98)04/10 (40%)1/10 (10%)–
Austin WellsNYY C0.40.1 (95)04/10 (40%)0/10 (0%)–
Christian WalkerHOU 1B0.40.1 (98)04/10 (40%)0/10 (0%)–
George Lombard Jr.NYY SS0.40.2 (42)04/10 (40%)0/10 (0%)–
Isaac ParedesHOU 3B0.40.2 (98)04/10 (40%)0/10 (0%)–
Lucas SpenceHOU CF0.40.2 (19)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Munetaka MurakamiCHW 1B0.40.2 (92)03/10 (30%)1/10 (10%)–
Zack GelofOAK 3B0.40.2 (100)03/10 (30%)1/10 (10%)–
Alec BurlesonSTL 1B0.30.2 (98)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Alex BregmanCHC 3B0.30.2 (98)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Andres ChaparroWSH 1B0.30.2 (79)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Angel MartinezCLE LF0.30.2 (93)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)vs Tampa Bay Rays (25th)
Ben RiceNYY DH0.30.2 (95)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Brenton DoyleCHW CF0.30.1 (84)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Carter JensenKC C0.30.2 (99)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBAL 3B0.30.2 (56)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
CJ AbramsWSH SS0.30.2 (100)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Edmundo SosaPHI LF0.30.1 (79)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Gabriel MorenoARI C0.30.1 (99)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Griffin ConineMIA RF0.30.2 (91)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Hunter GoodmanCOL C0.30.3 (99)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Ivan HerreraSTL DH0.30.1 (99)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
James McCannARI C0.30.1 (49)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Jeremy PenaHOU SS0.30.2 (97)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Joc PedersonTEX DH0.30.2 (98)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Jonathan ArandaTB 1B0.30.1 (93)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)at Cleveland Guardians (23rd)
Mookie BettsLAD SS0.30.2 (93)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)vs Milwaukee Brewers (27th)
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC CF0.30.4 (98)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Rafael Flores Jr.PIT C0.30.2 (46)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Randal GrichukCHW DH0.30.1 (90)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Ronald Acuna Jr.ATL RF0.30.2 (93)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Ronny MauricioNYM SS0.30.2 (20)02/10 (20%)1/10 (10%)–
Will SmithLAD C0.30.1 (72)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)vs Milwaukee Brewers (27th)
Yainer DiazHOU C0.30.1 (96)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Yordan AlvarezHOU DH0.30.2 (98)03/10 (30%)0/10 (0%)–
Andy PagesLAD CF0.20.2 (93)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)vs Milwaukee Brewers (27th)
Austin RileyATL 3B0.20.1 (93)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Brayan RocchioCLE SS0.20.1 (92)01/10 (10%)1/10 (10%)vs Tampa Bay Rays (25th)
Brice TurangMIL 2B0.20.2 (92)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)at Los Angeles Dodgers (30th)
Carson BengeNYM RF0.20.2 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Chase MeidrothCHW 2B0.20.1 (92)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Cody BellingerNYY LF0.20.1 (95)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Cole CarriggCOL CF0.20.1 (92)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Corey SeagerTEX SS0.20.2 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Danny JansenTEX C0.20.1 (66)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Donovan WaltonOAK 2B0.20.1 (90)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Elly De La CruzCIN SS0.20.2 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Eugenio SuarezCIN DH0.20.2 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Fernando Tatis Jr.SD RF0.20.3 (94)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Heliot RamosNYY LF0.20.1 (98)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
J.P. CrawfordSEA SS0.20.1 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Jake BurgerTEX 1B0.20.2 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Javier SanojaMIA 3B0.20.1 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Jordan LawlarARI CF0.20.2 (37)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Juan SotoNYM LF0.20.3 (100)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Kyle KarrosCOL 3B0.20.1 (99)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Kyle StowersMIA 1B0.20.2 (98)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Kyle TuckerLAD RF0.20.1 (92)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)vs Milwaukee Brewers (27th)
Lazaro MontesSEA RF0.20.2 (13)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Leo BernalSTL C0.20.2 (24)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Luis Robert Jr.BAL CF0.20.2 (61)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Manny MachadoSD 3B0.20.2 (94)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Matt OlsonATL 1B0.20.2 (93)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Max MuncyOAK 3B0.20.1 (79)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Rhys HoskinsCLE 1B0.20.1 (95)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)vs Tampa Bay Rays (25th)
Spencer TorkelsonDET 1B0.20.2 (96)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
Yohandy MoralesWSH 1B0.20.3 (12)02/10 (20%)0/10 (0%)–
A.J. EwingNYM CF0.10.1 (99)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Adley RutschmanBOS C0.10.1 (98)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Brian ServenOAK C0.10.2 (27)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Cam SmithHOU RF0.10.2 (98)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Coby MayoBAL 3B0.10.2 (99)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Francisco LindorNYM SS0.10.2 (100)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Jackson MerrillSD CF0.10.2 (94)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Josh BellMIN DH0.10.2 (100)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Junior CamineroTB 3B0.10.3 (94)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)at Cleveland Guardians (23rd)
Kevin McGonigleDET SS0.10.1 (100)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Lawrence ButlerOAK RF0.10.1 (100)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Luis TorrensNYM C0.10.1 (90)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Mickey GasperBOS DH0.10.1 (61)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Randy ArozarenaSEA LF0.10.2 (100)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Richie PalaciosTB 2B0.10.1 (93)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)at Cleveland Guardians (23rd)
Riley GreeneDET LF0.10.2 (100)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Teoscar HernandezLAD LF0.10.1 (93)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)vs Milwaukee Brewers (27th)
Travis BazzanaCLE 2B0.10.1 (92)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)vs Tampa Bay Rays (25th)
Victor Mesa Jr.TB RF0.10.2 (78)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)at Cleveland Guardians (23rd)
William ContrerasMIL C0.10.2 (93)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)at Los Angeles Dodgers (30th)
Zach NetoLAA SS0.10.2 (100)01/10 (10%)0/10 (0%)–
Josh SmithTOR 2B00.1 (76)00/10 (0%)0/10 (0%)–
Kazuma OkamotoTOR 3B00.2 (100)00/10 (0%)0/10 (0%)–
Kyle SchwarberPHI DH00.2 (97)00/10 (0%)0/10 (0%)–
Ryan JeffersMIN C00.2 (91)00/10 (0%)0/10 (0%)–

Statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines. The rank beside the next opponent is its runs allowed per game this season (1st = the most).

Biggest recent changes in home runs

Up over the last 10 games

  • Pete Alonso (BAL): 0.8 per game over the last 10, 0.3 over the 20 before

Regular-season games, the last 10 against the 20 before them. Ten games is a small sample; a change describes recent output, not what happens next.

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