Parker Messick strikeouts: hit rates and game log
Parker Messick (Cleveland Guardians SP) has averaged 6.5 strikeouts per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 6 in 2026 (32 games), reaching 6+ in 5 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 5.5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (32) | 2025 season (7) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ strikeouts | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 18/20 (90%) | 30/32 (94%) | 6/7 (86%) |
| 4+ strikeouts | 4/5 (80%) | 9/10 (90%) | 17/20 (85%) | 29/32 (91%) | 6/7 (86%) |
| 5+ strikeouts | 4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 14/20 (70%) | 24/32 (75%) | 4/7 (57%) |
| 6+ strikeouts | 2/5 (40%) | 5/10 (50%) | 10/20 (50%) | 18/32 (56%) | 4/7 (57%) |
| 7+ strikeouts | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 6/20 (30%) | 10/32 (31%) | 2/7 (29%) |
| 8+ strikeouts | 2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 6/20 (30%) | 8/32 (25%) | 1/7 (14%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the strikeouts recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | IP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 5.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 12 | 5.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 6 | 5.5 | 1 | 12 | 6.0 |
| 2026 season | 32 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 5.2 |
| 2025 season | 7 | 5.4 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 5.2 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19 | 6.4 | 6 | 12/19 (63%) |
| Away | 20 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 10/20 (50%) |
| Team won | 22 | 5.9 | 6 | 12/22 (55%) |
| Team lost | 17 | 6 | 6 | 10/17 (59%) |
Next game
- Home against the Tampa Bay Rays on October 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET.
- Against the Tampa Bay Rays in stored games: 3 (Oct 13, 2026, playoffs), 6 (Jul 26, 2026), 9 (Apr 27, 2026), 4 (Sep 7, 2025), 6 (Aug 26, 2025); 5 games, average 5.6.
Game preview · Tampa Bay Rays stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Strikeouts | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ KC | L | 2 | 3.0 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | @ BOS | W | 5 | 5.0 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | vs CHW | W | 8 | 6.0 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | @ MIN | W | 5 | 5.1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs DET | L | 12 | 6.0 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | vs KC | W | 5 | 6.0 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | @ LAA | W | 4 | 6.0 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | vs SF | L | 10 | 6.2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | @ DET | L | 6 | 5.2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | @ CHW | W | 8 | 7.0 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | vs ARI | L | 6 | 4.1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | @ TB | L | 6 | 7.2 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 6 | 5.2 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 1 | 6.0 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | vs CHW | L | 3 | 5.0 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | vs TEX | L | 5 | 6.2 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | @ CHW | L | 10 | 7.2 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | @ MIL | W | 9 | 6.0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | vs NYY | L | 4 | 5.2 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | @ TEX | L | 4 | 5.2 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Parker Messick, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Parker Messick stats and game log
- Parker Messick in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Parker Messick hits allowed
- Parker Messick outs recorded
- MLB strikeouts: every player
