Parker Messick hits allowed: hit rates and game log
Parker Messick (Cleveland Guardians SP) has averaged 4.9 hits allowed per game over the last 10 regular-season games and 4.7 in 2026 (32 games), reaching 5+ in 6 of the last 10. Median over the last 20: 5.
How often each threshold was reached
| Threshold | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | 2026 season (32) | 2025 season (7) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ hits allowed | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 31/32 (97%) | 7/7 (100%) |
| 3+ hits allowed | 5/5 (100%) | 10/10 (100%) | 19/20 (95%) | 29/32 (91%) | 7/7 (100%) |
| 4+ hits allowed | 4/5 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | 15/20 (75%) | 24/32 (75%) | 7/7 (100%) |
| 5+ hits allowed | 4/5 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | 12/20 (60%) | 18/32 (56%) | 6/7 (86%) |
| 6+ hits allowed | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 10/32 (31%) | 5/7 (71%) |
| 7+ hits allowed | 2/5 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | 3/20 (15%) | 4/32 (13%) | 4/7 (57%) |
Counts are games reaching the threshold out of the games played in each window, with the hits allowed recorded. Samples are stated; a handful of games moves these rates quickly.
Averages and range
| Games | Played | Average | Median | Low | High | IP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 5.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.9 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5.2 |
| Last 20 | 20 | 4.8 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 6.0 |
| 2026 season | 32 | 4.7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5.2 |
| 2025 season | 7 | 6.6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 5.2 |
Splits
| Split | Games | Average | Median | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19 | 5.2 | 5 | 13/19 (68%) |
| Away | 20 | 4.8 | 5 | 11/20 (55%) |
| Team won | 22 | 4.5 | 4 | 10/22 (45%) |
| Team lost | 17 | 5.6 | 6 | 14/17 (82%) |
| vs the top third with the most hits | 8 | 4.6 | 5 | 5/8 (63%) |
| vs the bottom third | 11 | 5.1 | 5 | 8/11 (73%) |
Next game
- Home against the Tampa Bay Rays on October 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET.
- This season the Tampa Bay Rays average 8.1 hits per game (17th most of 30).
- Against the Tampa Bay Rays in stored games: 6 (Oct 13, 2026, playoffs), 6 (Jul 26, 2026), 3 (Apr 27, 2026), 8 (Sep 7, 2025), 4 (Aug 26, 2025); 5 games, average 5.4.
Game preview · Tampa Bay Rays stats and results
Opponent context and past meetings, not a prediction.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | Hits allowed | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ KC | L | 6 | 3.0 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | @ BOS | W | 5 | 5.0 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | vs CHW | W | 7 | 6.0 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | @ MIN | W | 3 | 5.1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs DET | L | 7 | 6.0 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | vs KC | W | 5 | 6.0 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | @ LAA | W | 3 | 6.0 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | vs SF | L | 6 | 6.2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | @ DET | L | 3 | 5.2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | @ CHW | W | 4 | 7.0 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | vs ARI | L | 6 | 4.1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | @ TB | L | 6 | 7.2 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 4 | 5.2 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 1 | 6.0 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | vs CHW | L | 5 | 5.0 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | vs TEX | L | 8 | 6.2 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | @ CHW | L | 3 | 7.2 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | @ MIL | W | 4 | 6.0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | vs NYY | L | 5 | 5.2 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | @ TEX | L | 5 | 5.2 |
About this page
- Regular-season games only, this season and last; playoff games are on the player page.
- Thresholds are statistical, not sportsbook lines. Current lines for Parker Messick, with hit rates against the posted number, are in the app.
- Nothing here is a prediction, pick or projection.
This page contains no sportsbook prices or betting lines.
Keep researching
- Parker Messick stats and game log
- Parker Messick in StatsNext: Player Research with current props and hit rates against the line
- Parker Messick strikeouts
- Parker Messick outs recorded
- MLB hits allowed: every player