MLB hits allowed: prop research
105 MLB players ranked by their last-10 average of hits allowed in regular-season games over this season and last. Each name opens the player’s hits allowed page: every threshold, splits, the next opponent and the game log.
Hits Allowed: every player
| Player | Team | Last 10 avg | This season (games) | Median (last 20) | 5+ last 10 | 6+ last 10 | Next game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Gordon | COL SP | 7.3 | 6.2 (24) | 6 | 7/10 (70%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| Seth Lugo | KC SP | 7.1 | 6.3 (32) | 6.5 | 10/10 (100%) | 8/10 (80%) | |
| Brady Singer | CIN SP | 7 | 6.1 (31) | 6 | 9/10 (90%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| George Kirby | SEA SP | 6.6 | 6.6 (30) | 7 | 9/10 (90%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| Foster Griffin | CLE SP | 6.4 | 5.3 (31) | 5 | 8/10 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | vs Tampa Bay Rays (17th) |
| Cristopher Sanchez | PHI SP | 6.3 | 6.2 (33) | 6 | 8/10 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Kyle Freeland | COL SP | 6.3 | 6.6 (27) | 7 | 9/10 (90%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | COL SP | 6.2 | 5.8 (29) | 6 | 8/10 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| Kyle Bradish | BAL SP | 6.1 | 5.4 (29) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Tanner Bibee | CLE SP | 6.1 | 5.3 (33) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | vs Tampa Bay Rays (17th) |
| Chris Bassitt | BAL SP | 6 | 6 (20) | 6 | 9/10 (90%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI SP | 6 | 5.4 (32) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Joe Ryan | MIN SP | 6 | 5.1 (27) | 5.5 | 7/10 (70%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Kevin Gausman | CHC SP | 6 | 5.6 (32) | 5 | 8/10 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Sean Manaea | NYM SP | 5.9 | 4.6 (33) | 5.5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Zac Gallen | ARI SP | 5.9 | 5.8 (22) | 6 | 6/10 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Emerson Hancock | SEA SP | 5.8 | 5 (25) | 5 | 8/10 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Jose Soriano | TOR SP | 5.8 | 4.8 (32) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Michael McGreevy | STL SP | 5.8 | 5.4 (31) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Rhett Lowder | CIN SP | 5.8 | 5.1 (29) | 6 | 8/10 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| Zac Thornton | NYM SP | 5.8 | 5.2 (15) | 5 | 8/10 (80%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Andrew Abbott | CIN SP | 5.7 | 5.2 (32) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Brandon Pfaadt | ARI SP | 5.7 | 4.4 (29) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Jake Bennett | BOS SP | 5.7 | 5.2 (20) | 5 | 8/10 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Randy Dobnak | KC SP | 5.7 | 5.2 (15) | 4 | 6/10 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Casey Mize | SD SP | 5.6 | 4.7 (26) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Patrick Sandoval | BOS SP | 5.6 | 5.7 (15) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Ryan Gusto | MIA SP | 5.6 | 4.3 (23) | 4 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Cody Bradford | TEX SP | 5.5 | 5.5 (10) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Framber Valdez | DET SP | 5.5 | 5.5 (31) | 5.5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY SP | 5.5 | 5.2 (22) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Grayson Rodriguez | LAA SP | 5.5 | 5.5 (20) | 6 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Logan Webb | SF SP | 5.5 | 5.4 (27) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Luis Castillo | CHW SP | 5.5 | 5.2 (29) | 4.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Nick Lodolo | CIN SP | 5.5 | 5.5 (21) | 5 | 8/10 (80%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Nick Martinez | TB SP | 5.5 | 5.5 (31) | 5.5 | 8/10 (80%) | 5/10 (50%) | at Cleveland Guardians (7th) |
| Ryan Weathers | NYY SP | 5.5 | 5.2 (25) | 6 | 7/10 (70%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| Andre Pallante | STL SP | 5.4 | 5.4 (29) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Anthony Kay | CHW SP | 5.4 | 4.9 (33) | 5 | 9/10 (90%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Bailey Ober | MIN SP | 5.4 | 5.3 (25) | 5.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Bryce Elder | ATL SP | 5.4 | 5.4 (26) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC SP | 5.4 | 5.2 (22) | 5 | 8/10 (80%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Peter Lambert | HOU SP | 5.4 | 4.7 (29) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Shane Baz | BAL SP | 5.4 | 5.8 (31) | 6 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL SP | 5.4 | 5.4 (30) | 5.5 | 7/10 (70%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Troy Melton | DET SP | 5.4 | 4.6 (20) | 4 | 6/10 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Brandon Young | BAL SP | 5.3 | 5.4 (28) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Kumar Rocker | TEX SP | 5.3 | 4.9 (30) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Matthew Liberatore | STL SP | 5.3 | 5.6 (31) | 5.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL SP | 5.2 | 4.9 (14) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Gage Jump | OAK SP | 5.2 | 5.2 (20) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Sonny Gray | BOS SP | 5.2 | 5.1 (29) | 5.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Tarik Skubal | LAD SP | 5.2 | 4.8 (26) | 4 | 4/10 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | vs Milwaukee Brewers (18th) |
| Braxton Ashcraft | PIT SP | 5.1 | 5.2 (28) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Eric Lauer | LAD SP | 5.1 | 4.9 (22) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 5/10 (50%) | vs Milwaukee Brewers (18th) |
| Jacob Lopez | OAK SP | 5.1 | 4.7 (27) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Michael King | SD SP | 5.1 | 4.6 (32) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Ryan Feltner | COL SP | 5.1 | 5.1 (26) | 6 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Sandy Alcantara | MIA SP | 5.1 | 5.7 (36) | 5.5 | 7/10 (70%) | 7/10 (70%) | |
| Connor Prielipp | MIN SP | 5 | 4.9 (24) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| J.T. Ginn | OAK SP | 5 | 4.2 (27) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Jack Perkins | OAK SP | 5 | 3.4 (37) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Jake Irvin | WSH SP | 5 | 4.6 (22) | 4 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Jeffrey Springs | OAK SP | 5 | 5.2 (29) | 5.5 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Logan Gilbert | SEA SP | 5 | 4.8 (32) | 4 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Merrill Kelly | ARI SP | 5 | 5.7 (29) | 5.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Nolan McLean | NYM SP | 5 | 4.5 (31) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | |
| Payton Tolle | BOS SP | 5 | 4.7 (26) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Yusei Kikuchi | LAA SP | 5 | 5.3 (14) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Zack Wheeler | PHI SP | 5 | 4.4 (28) | 4.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Jameson Taillon | TOR SP | 4.9 | 4.7 (18) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Parker Messick | CLE SP | 4.9 | 4.7 (32) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | vs Tampa Bay Rays (17th) |
| Zebby Matthews | MIN SP | 4.9 | 5.4 (23) | 5.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Bryce Miller | SEA SP | 4.8 | 4.5 (22) | 4.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| David Peterson | CHC SP | 4.8 | 4.9 (32) | 4.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Jose Quintana | COL SP | 4.8 | 4.7 (11) | 5 | 7/10 (70%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Ryne Nelson | ARI SP | 4.8 | 4.5 (19) | 4.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Tyler Mahle | ATL SP | 4.8 | 5.1 (27) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| MacKenzie Gore | TEX SP | 4.7 | 4.7 (34) | 4.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Will Warren | NYY SP | 4.7 | 5 (32) | 5.5 | 6/10 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | |
| Michael Wacha | KC SP | 4.6 | 5.3 (32) | 6 | 4/10 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Paul Skenes | PIT SP | 4.6 | 4.6 (32) | 5.5 | 4/10 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Ranger Suarez | BOS SP | 4.6 | 4.6 (28) | 5 | 4/10 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Shane Bieber | TOR SP | 4.6 | 5 (11) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Shota Imanaga | CHC SP | 4.6 | 4.8 (32) | 4.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Aaron Nola | PHI SP | 4.5 | 5.4 (33) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Andrew Painter | PHI SP | 4.5 | 5.3 (25) | 5.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Bryan Woo | SEA SP | 4.5 | 5.1 (30) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT SP | 4.5 | 4.4 (31) | 4.5 | 3/10 (30%) | 1/10 (10%) | |
| Chris Sale | ATL SP | 4.5 | 4.8 (27) | 5 | 6/10 (60%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Martin Perez | ATL SP | 4.5 | 4 (30) | 4.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Michael Lorenzen | TOR SP | 4.5 | 5.8 (32) | 5 | 3/10 (30%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Davis Martin | CHW SP | 4.4 | 5 (29) | 5 | 4/10 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Noah Cameron | KC SP | 4.4 | 5.2 (31) | 5.5 | 5/10 (50%) | 4/10 (40%) | |
| Max Scherzer | TOR SP | 4.3 | 4.3 (18) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Nathan Eovaldi | TEX SP | 4.3 | 5.3 (27) | 4.5 | 3/10 (30%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Walker Buehler | SD SP | 4.3 | 4.7 (32) | 4.5 | 4/10 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU SP | 4.2 | 4.5 (11) | 5 | 5/10 (50%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Robert Gasser | MIL SP | 4.2 | 4.5 (21) | 4 | 3/10 (30%) | 3/10 (30%) | at Los Angeles Dodgers (5th) |
| Freddy Peralta | TB SP | 4.1 | 5 (32) | 5.5 | 4/10 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | at Cleveland Guardians (7th) |
| Janson Junk | MIA SP | 3.9 | 4.9 (26) | 5 | 3/10 (30%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Landen Roupp | SF SP | 3.9 | 4.3 (29) | 4.5 | 4/10 (40%) | 1/10 (10%) | |
| Jacob deGrom | TEX SP | 3.8 | 4.5 (31) | 4.5 | 4/10 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | |
| Edward Cabrera | CHC SP | 3.7 | 4.6 (18) | 4.5 | 3/10 (30%) | 2/10 (20%) | |
| Shane Drohan | MIL SP | 3.3 | 3.7 (33) | 5 | 4/10 (40%) | 2/10 (20%) | at Los Angeles Dodgers (5th) |
Statistical thresholds, not sportsbook lines. The rank beside the next opponent is its hits per game this season (1st = the most).
Biggest recent changes in hits allowed
Up over the last 10 games
- Troy Melton (DET): 5.4 per game over the last 10, 2.7 over the 20 before
- Emerson Hancock (SEA): 5.8 per game over the last 10, 3.6 over the 20 before
- Tanner Gordon (COL): 7.3 per game over the last 10, 5.3 over the 20 before
- Ryan Gusto (MIA): 5.6 per game over the last 10, 3.8 over the 20 before
- Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 5.7 per game over the last 10, 3.9 over the 20 before
- Sean Manaea (NYM): 5.9 per game over the last 10, 4.2 over the 20 before
- Jack Perkins (OAK): 5 per game over the last 10, 3.3 over the 20 before
- Foster Griffin (CLE): 6.4 per game over the last 10, 4.8 over the 20 before
Down over the last 10 games
- Janson Junk (MIA): 3.9 per game over the last 10, 5.5 over the 20 before
- Michael Lorenzen (TOR): 4.5 per game over the last 10, 6.1 over the 20 before
- Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 4.3 per game over the last 10, 5.8 over the 20 before
- Edward Cabrera (CHC): 3.7 per game over the last 10, 5.2 over the 18 before
- Freddy Peralta (TB): 4.1 per game over the last 10, 5.5 over the 20 before
- Aaron Nola (PHI): 4.5 per game over the last 10, 5.8 over the 20 before
- Andrew Painter (PHI): 4.5 per game over the last 10, 5.8 over the 15 before
- Michael Wacha (KC): 4.6 per game over the last 10, 5.8 over the 20 before
Regular-season games, the last 10 against the 20 before them. Ten games is a small sample; a change describes recent output, not what happens next.
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